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Working Paper Series

from European Central Bank
Postfach 16 03 19, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
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1506: Assessing interbank contagion using simulated networks Downloads
Grzegorz Halaj and Christoffer Kok Sørensen
1505: Interest rate volatility: a consol rate-based measure Downloads
Vincent Brousseau and Alain Durré
1504: International R&D Spillovers: Technology Transfer vs. R&D Synergies Downloads
Alistair Dieppe and Jan Mutl
1503: Cost of borrowing shocks and fiscal adjustment Downloads
Oliver de Groot, Fédéric Holm-Hadulla and Nadine Leiner-Killinger
1502: Do firms use the trade credit channel to manage growth? Downloads
Annalisa Ferrando and Klaas Mulier
1501: Explaining EU citizens’ trust in the ECB in normal and crisis times Downloads
Michael Ehrmann, Michel Soudan and Livio Stracca
1500: Nonlinear liquidity adjustments in the euro area overnight money market Downloads
Renaud Beaupain and Alain Durré
1499: Risk, capital buffer and bank lending: a granular approach to the adjustment of euro area banks Downloads
Laurent Maurin and Mervi Toivanen
1498: Heterogeneity and cross-country spillovers in macroeconomic-financial linkages Downloads
Matteo Ciccarelli, Eva Ortega and Maria Teresa Valderrama
1497: Bank capital and liquidity creation: Granger-causality evidence Downloads
Roman Horvath, Jakub Seidler and Laurent Weill
1496: The ECB and the interbank market Downloads
Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza, Huw Pill and Lucrezia Reichlin
1495: Bubbles, banks and financial stability Downloads
Kosuke Aoki and Kalin Ognianov Nikolov
1494: Prior selection for vector autoregressions Downloads
Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza and Giorgio E. Primiceri
1493: An alternative method for identifying booms and busts in the euro area housing market Downloads
Dieter Gerdesmeier, Andreja Lenarčič and Barbara Roffia
1492: Bayesian analysis of recursive SVAR models with overidentifying restrictions Downloads
Andrzej Kociecki, Michał Rubaszek and Ca' Zorzi, Michele
1491: Trade openness reduces growth volatility when countries are well diversified Downloads
Mona Haddad, Jamus Jerome Lim, Cosimo Pancaro and Christian Saborowski
1490: A model of borrower reputation as intangible collateral Downloads
Kalin Ognianov Nikolov
1489: The business cycle implications of banks' maturity transformation Downloads
Martin Møller Andreasen, Marcelo Ferman and Pawel Zabczyk
1488: When the cat's away the mice will play: does regulation at home affect bank risk taking abroad? Downloads
Steven Ongena, Alexander Popov and Gregory Udell
1487: Asymmetric information in credit markets, bank leverage cycles and macroeconomic dynamics Downloads
Ansgar Rannenberg
1486: Leading indicators of crisis incidence: evidence from developed countries Downloads
Jan Babecký, Tomáš Jiří Havránek, Jakub Matějů, Marek Rusnák, Katerina Smidkova and Bořek Vašíček
1485: Banking, debt and currency crises: early warning indicators for developed countries Downloads
Jan Babecký, Tomáš Jiří Havránek, Jakub Matějů, Marek Rusnák, Katerina Smidkova and Bořek Vašíček
1484: Bank ratings: what determines their quality? Downloads
Harald Hau, Sam Langfield and David Marqués-Ibáñez
1483: Gauging the effects of fiscal stimulus packages in the euro area Downloads
Günter Coenen, Roland Straub and Mathias Trabandt
1482: Optimism bias? The elasticity puzzle in international economics revisited Downloads
Vesna Corbo and Chiara Osbat
1481: Clearing, counterparty risk and aggregate risk Downloads
Bruno R Biais, Florian Heider and Marie Hoerova
1480: Interdependence and contagion in global asset markets Downloads
John Beirne and Jana Gieck
1479: Macroeconomic uncertainty and the impact of oil shocks Downloads
Ine Van Robays
1478: Dual liquidity crises under alternative monetary frameworks: a financial accounts perspective Downloads
Ulrich Bindseil and Adalbert Winkler
1477: Central bank communication on fiscal policy Downloads
Julien Allard, Marco Catenaro, Jean-Pierre Vidal and Guido Wolswijk
1476: Aging and pension reform: extending the retirement age and human capital formation Downloads
Edgar Vogel, Alexander Ludwig and Axel Börsch-Supan
1475: Information flows and disagreement Downloads
Cristian Badarinza and Marco Gross
1474: Dissecting saving dynamics: measuring wealth, precautionary and credit effects Downloads
Christopher Carroll, Jiri Slacalek and Martin Sommer
1473: Was unofficial dollarisation/euroisation an amplifier of the 'Great Recession' of 2007-09 in emerging economies Downloads
Livia Chitu
1472: Fiscal sustainability using growth-maximising debt targets Downloads
Cristina Checherita-Westphal, Andrew J Hughes Hallett and Philipp Rother
1471: Feedback to the ECB's monetary analysis: the Bank of Russia's experience with some key tools Downloads
Alexey A. Ponomarenko, Elena Vasilieva and Franziska Schobert
1470: Optimal portfolio choice with predictability in house prices and transaction costs Downloads
Stefano Corradin, José L. Fillat and Carles Vergara-Alert
1469: Loan supply shocks and the business cycle Downloads
Luca Gambetti and Alberto Musso
1468: Modelling the time varying determinants of portfolio flows to emerging markets Downloads
Marco Lo Duca
1467: The interplay of economic reforms and monetary policy: the case of the Euro area Downloads
Francesco Drudi, Alain Durré and Francesco Paolo Mongelli
1466: History, gravity and international finance Downloads
Livia Chitu, Barry Julian Eichengreen and Arnaud Jérôme Mehl
1465: Revisiting fiscal sustainability: panel cointegration and structural breaks in OECD countries Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Joao Tovar Jalles
1464: An MVAR framework to capture extreme events in macro-prudential stress tests Downloads
Paolo Guarda, Abdelaziz Rouabah and John Theal
1463: Macroeconomic implications of time-varying risk premia Downloads
François Gourio
1462: A global perspective on inflation and propagation channels Downloads
Luca Gattini, Huw Pill and Ludger Schuknecht
1461: House price responsiveness of housing investments across major European economies Downloads
Luca Gattini and Ioannis Ganoulis
1460: Financial structures and the real effects of credit-supply shocks in Denmark 1922-2011 Downloads
Kim Abildgren
1459: Dynamic factor models with macro, frailty and industry effects for US default counts: the credit crisis of 2008 Downloads
Siem Jan Koopman, André Lucas and Bernd Schwaab
1458: Business cycles, monetary transmission and shocks to financial stability: empirical evidence from a new set of Danish quarterly national accounts 1948-2010 Downloads
Kim Abildgren
1457: Excessive bank risk taking and monetary policy Downloads
Itai Agur and Maria Demertzis
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