Intra- and extra-euro area import demand for manufactures
Robert Anderton (),
Badi Baltagi (),
Frauke Skudelny () and
Nuno Sousa Additional contact information Robert Anderton: European Central Bank and Special Professor at School of Economics, University of Nottingham, University Park, Nottingham NG7 2RD, United Kingdom., http://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html Frauke Skudelny: European Central Bank, Kaiserstrasse 29, Frankfurt am Main, Germany., http://www.ecb.europa.eu/home/html/index.en.html Nuno Sousa: European Commission.
Abstract:
The aim of this paper is to improve our understanding of the key determinants of intra- and extra-euro area imports. Using a simultaneous equation estimation framework, and pooling the data across nine euro area countries as an approximation of the euro area, we estimate intra- and extra-euro area import demand functions and impose various restrictions within and across equations. We find that there are significant substitution effects between intra- and extra-euro area imports due to changes in their relative prices, while exchange rate volatility decreases trade vis-à-vis regions characterised by volatility and leads to substitution of trade away from higher-volatility regions towards lower-volatility regions.
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