Euro area inflation persistence in an estimated nonlinear DSGE model

Gianni Amisano and Oreste Tristani ()

No 754, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: We estimate the approximate nonlinear solution of a small DSGE model on euro area data, using the conditional particle filter to compute the model likelihood. Our results are consistent with previous findings, based on simulated data, suggesting that this approach delivers sharper inference compared to the estimation of the linearised model. We also show that the nonlinear model can account for richer economic dynamics - the impulse responses to structural shocks vary depending on initial conditions selected within our estimation sample. JEL Classification: C11, C15, E31, E32, E52.

Keywords: DSGE models; inflation persistence; second order approximations; sequential Monte Carlo; Bayesian estimation. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-dge, nep-eec, nep-mac and nep-mon
Date: Written
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Related works:
Working Paper: Euro area inflation persistence in an estimated nonlinear DSGE model (2007)
Working Paper: Euro Area Inflation Persistence in an Estimated Nonlinear DSGE Model (2007)
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20070754

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