What Explains Global Exchange Rate Movements During the Financial Crisis?

Marcel Fratzscher ()

No 1060, Working Paper Series from European Central Bank

Abstract: A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper finds that negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered a significant strengthening of the US dollar, rather than a weakening. Macroeconomic fundamentals and financial exposure of individual countries are found to have played a key role in the transmission process of US shocks: in particular countries with low FX reserves, weak current account positions and high direct financial exposure vis-à-vis the United States have experienced substantially larger currency depreciations during the crisis overall, and to US shocks in particular. JEL Classification: F31, F4, G1.

Keywords: Financial crisis; exchange rates; global imbalances; shocks; United States; US dollar; transmission channels. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-ifn, nep-mon and nep-opm
Date: 2009-06
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