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Working Paper Series

from European Central Bank
Postfach 16 03 19, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Contact information at EDIRC.
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264: A monthly monetary model with banking intermediation for the euro area Downloads
Annick Bruggeman and Marie Donnay
263: Measuring contagion with a Bayesian; time-varying coefficient model Downloads
Matteo Ciccarelli and Alessandro Rebucci
262: Indeterminacy of rational expectations equilibria in sequential financial markets Downloads
Paola Donati
261: Why has broad money demand been more stable in the Euro area than in other economies? A literature review Downloads
Alessandro Calza and João Sousa
260: Aggregation-theoretic monetary aggregation over the Euro area; when countries are heterogeneous Downloads
William Barnett
259: Implicit tax co-ordination under repeated policy interactions Downloads
Marco Catenaro and Vidal, Jean-Pierre
258: Interest rate reaction functions and the Taylor rule in the Euro area Downloads
Gerlach-Kristen, Petra
257: Macroeconomic modelling of monetary policy Downloads
Matt Klaeffling
256: Information acquisition and decision making in committees: A survey Downloads
Kerstin Gerling, Hans Peter Grüner, Alexandra Kiel and Elisabeth Schulte
255: Is the demand for Euro area M3 stable? Downloads
Annick Bruggeman, Paola Donati and Anders Warne
254: Forecasting real GDP: What role for narrow money? Downloads
Claus Brand, Hans-Eggert Reimers and Franz Seitz
253: Bond market inflation expectations and longer-term trends in broad monetary growthand inflation in industrial countries, 1880-2001 Downloads
William G. Dewald
252: Interpolation and backdating with a large information set Downloads
Elena Angelini, Jerome Henry and Massimiliano Marcellino
251: Consumption; habit persistence; imperfect information and the lifetime budget constraint Downloads
Alpo Willman
250: Persistence, the transmission mechanism and robust monetary policy Downloads
Ignazio Angeloni, Günter Coenen and Frank Rafael Smets
249: Trade advantages and specialisation dynamics in acceding countries Downloads
Andrea Zaghini
248: Exchange rates and fundamentals Downloads
Charles Engel and Kenneth D. West
247: Forecasting euro area inflation: does aggregating forecasts by HICP component improve forecast accuracy? Downloads
Kirstin Hubrich
246: Public finances and long-term growth in Europe - evidence from a panel data analysis Downloads
Diego Romero de Avila Torrijos and Rolf Strauch
245: Money and payments: a modern perspective Downloads
Cornelia Holthausen and Cyril Monnet
244: How does the ECB allot liquidity in its weekly main refinancing operations? A look at the empirical evidence Downloads
Steen Ejerskov, Clara Martin Moss and Livio Stracca
243: Pass-through of external shocks to euro area inflation Downloads
Elke Hahn
242: Public sector efficiency: an international comparison Downloads
Ludger Schuknecht, Antonio Afonso and Vito Tanzi
241: Maintaining price stability under free-floating: a fearless way out of the corner? Downloads
Carsten Detken and Vitor Gaspar
240: Monetary policy transmission in the euro area: any changes after EMU? Downloads
Ignazio Angeloni and Michael Ehrmann
239: Temporary shocks and unavoidable transitions to a high-unemployment regime Downloads
Wouter J. den Haan
238: The impact of monetary union on trade prices Downloads
Richard E. Baldwin, Robert Anderton and Daria Taglioni
237: Growth expectations; capital flows and international risk sharing Downloads
Marcus Miller, Olli Castren and Roger Stiegert
236: Swiss monetary targeting 1974-1996: the role of internal policy analysis Downloads
George Rich
235: Volatility of interest rates in the euro area: evidence from high frequency data Downloads
Claudio Morana and Nuno Cassola
234: Unemployment, hysteresis and transition Downloads
Miguel Leon-Ledesma and Peter McAdam
233: The natural real rate of interest in the Euro area Downloads
Nicola Giammarioli and Natacha Valla
232: Describing the Fed's conduct with Taylor rules: is interest rate smoothing important? Downloads
Efrem Castelnuovo
231: Price stability and monetary policy effectiveness when nominal interest rates are bounded at zero Downloads
Günter Coenen, Athanasios Orphanides and Volker Wieland
230: The Euro area financial system: structure, integration and policy initiatives Downloads
Philipp Hartmann, Simone Manganelli and Angela Maddaloni
229: How does the ECB target inflation? Downloads
Paolo Surico
228: Monetary policy shocks - a nonfundamental look at the data Downloads
Matt Klaeffing
227: Monetary policy in a low pass-through environment Downloads
Tommaso Monacelli
226: The Central Bank as a risk manager: quantifying and forecasting fnflation risks Downloads
Lutz Kilian and Simone Manganelli
225: Productivity and the ('Synthetic') Euro-dollar exchange rate Downloads
Bernd Schnatz and Chiara Osbat
224: The rise of the Yen vis-a-vis the ('Synthetic') Euro: is it supported by economic fundamentals? Downloads
Bernd Schnatz, Chiara Osbat and Rasmus Rueffer
223: Optimal monetary policy with imperfect common knowledge Downloads
Klaus Adam
222: Inflation dynamics and subjective expectations in the United States Downloads
Klaus Adam and Mario Padula
221: Estimating risk premia in money market rates Downloads
Rasmus Pilegaard, Alain Durré and Snorre Evjen
220: The allocation of competencies in an international union: a positive analysis Downloads
Michele Ruta
219: Extra-euro area manufacturing import prices and exchange rate pass-through Downloads
Robert Anderton
218: The Zero-interest-rate bound and the role of the exchange rate for monetary policy in Japan Downloads
Günter Coenen and Volker Wieland
217: The role of product market regulations in the process of structural change Downloads
Julian Messina
216: The admission of accession countries to an enlarged monetary union: a tentative assessment Downloads
Roberto A. De Santis and Ca'Zorzi, Michele (Michele Ca' Zorzi)
215: Budget institutions and fiscal performance in Central and Eastern European countries Downloads
Holger Gleich
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