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Working Paper Series

from European Central Bank
Postfach 16 03 19, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Contact information at EDIRC.
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214: On the selection of forecasting models Downloads
Lutz Kilian and Atsushi Inoue
213: Aggregation and euro area Phillips curves Downloads
Julian Morgan and Silvia Fabiani
212: Modelling the implied probability of stock market movements Downloads
Martin Scheicher and Ernst Glatzer
211: Self-control and savings Downloads
Vidal, Jean-Pierre and Philippe Michel
210: Anticipated Ramsey reforms and the uniform taxation principle: the role of international financial markets Downloads
Schmitt-Grohe, Stephanie and Martin Uribe
209: A framework for collateral risk control determination Downloads
Didier Cossin, Aunon-Nerin, Daniel and Fernando Gonzales
208: Do demographic changes affect risk premiums? Evidence from international data Downloads
Andrew Ang and Angela Maddaloni
207: A comprehensive model on the Euro overnight rate Downloads
Flemming Reinhardt Würtz
206: A comprehensive model on the Euro overnight rate Downloads
Barbara Roffia and Dieter Gerdesmeier
205: Real exchange rate in an inter-temporal n-country-model with incomplete markets Downloads
Benoit Mercereau
204: Asymmetric dynamics in the correlations of global equity and bond returns Downloads
Kevin Sheppard, Robert F. Engle and Lorenzo Cappiello
203: Myopic loss aversion; disappointment aversion; and the equity premium puzzle Downloads
Livio Stracca and David Fielding
202: Aggregate loans to the euro area private sector Downloads
Alessandro Calza, João Sousa and Marta Manrique Simon
201: Euro area inflation persistence Downloads
Nicoletta Batini
200: Interdependence between the euro area and the US: what role for EMU? Downloads
Michael Ehrmann and Marcel Fratzscher
199: Time variation in the tail behaviour of bund futures returns Downloads
Christian Upper and Thomas Werner
198: Extracting risk neutral probability densities by fitting implied volatility smiles: some methodological points and an applicaion to the 3M Euribor futures option prices Downloads
Allan B. Andersen and Tom Wagener
197: A model of the Eurosystem's operational framework for monetary poicy implementation Downloads
Christian Ewerhart
196: Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form Downloads
Lutz Kilian and Silvia Goncalves
195: In-Sample or out-of-sample tests of predictability: which one should we use? Downloads
Lutz Kilian and Atsushi Inoue
194: Sensitivity analysis of volatility - a new tool for risk management Downloads
Simone Manganelli, Vladimiro Ceci and Walter Vecchiato
193: Sustainability of public finances and automatic stabilisation under a rule of budgetary discipline Downloads
Jose Marin
192: Is the European Central Bank (and the United States Federal Reserve) predictable? Downloads
Jorge Sicilia and Perez-Quiros, Gabriel (Gabriel Perez Quiros)
191: Sensitivity analysis of volatility: a new tool for risk management Downloads
Ludger Schuknecht and Felix Eschenbach
190: Monetary policy and the zero bound to interest rates: a review Downloads
Anthony Yates
189: Debt reduction and automatic stabilisation Downloads
Paul Hiebert, Massimo Rostagno and Javier J. Pérez García
188: Should central banks really be flexible? Downloads
Hans Peter Grüner
187: A fiscal theory of sovereign risk Downloads
Martin Uribe
186: Using money market rates to assess the alternatives of fixed vs. variable rate tenders: the lesson from 1989-1998 data for Germany Downloads
Michele Manna
185: European Integration: what lessons for other regions? The case of Latin America Downloads
Ettore Dorrucci, Marcel Fratzscher, Francesco Paolo Mongelli and Stefano Firpo
184: Efficient pricing of large value interbank payment systems Downloads
Cornelia Holthausen and Jean Charles Rochet
183: Monetary policy in a world with different financial systems Downloads
Ester Faia
182: The information content of real-time output GAP estimates: an application to the Euro area Downloads
Gerhard Ruenstler (Gerhard Rünstler)
181: Inflation dynamics and international linkages: a model of the United States, the euro area and Japan Downloads
Günter Coenen and Volker Wieland
180: Regional inflation in a currency union: fiscal policy vs. fundamentals Downloads
Margarida Duarte and Alexander L. Wolman
179: Optimal monetary policy with durable goods and non-durable goods Downloads
Christopher John Erceg and Andrew Theo Levin
178: Inflation persistence and optimal monetary policy in the Euro area Downloads
Pierpaolo Benigno and Lopez-Salido, J. David
177: A theory of the currency denomination of international trade Downloads
Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop
176: From the ERM to the Euro: new evidence on economic and policy convergence among EU countries Downloads
Giancarlo Corsetti and Luca Dedola
175: Monetary policy and the financial accelerator in a monetary union Downloads
Simon Gilchrist, Jean-Olivier Hairault and Hubert Kempf
174: International monetary policy coordination and financial market integration Downloads
Alan Sutherland
173: Openness and equilibrium determinacy under interest rate rules Downloads
Fiorella De Fiore and Zheng Liu
172: Constructing quality-adjusted price indices: a comparison of hedonic and discrete choice models Downloads
Nicole Jonker
171: An estimated stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model of the euro area Downloads
Frank Rafael Smets and Raf Wouters
170: What measure of inflation should a central bank target? Downloads
N. Gregory Mankiw and Ricardo Reis
169: Modeling model uncertainty Downloads
Alexei Onatski and Noah Williams
168: Estimating the effects of fiscal policy in OECD countries Downloads
Roberto Perotti
167: Identifying the effects of monetary policy shocks on exchange rates using high frequency data Downloads
John H. Rogers, Jonathan Wright and Jon Faust (Eric Thomas Swanson)
166: Monetary and fiscal policy interactions in a micro-founded model of a monetary union Downloads
Roel Maria Wilhelmus Jozef Beetsma and Henrik Jensen
165: The industry effects of monetary policy in the Euro area Downloads
Gert Peersam and Frank Rafael Smets
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