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Working Paper Series

from European Central Bank
Postfach 16 03 19, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
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867: Do monetary indicators lead euro area inflation? Downloads
Boris Hofmann
866: VAR analysis and the Great Moderation Downloads
Luca Benati and Paolo Surico
865: Explaining the Great Moderation - it is not the shocks Downloads
Domenico Giannone, Michele Lenza and Lucrezia Reichlin
864: Macroeconomic rates of return of public and private investment: crowding-in and crowding-out effects Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Miguel St. Aubyn
863: Population ageing and public pension reforms in a small open economy Downloads
Christiane Nickel, Philipp Rother and Angeliki Theophilopoulou
862: Stock market volatility and learning Downloads
Klaus Adam, Albert Marcet and Juan Pablo Nicolini
861: Income distribution determinants and public spending efficiency Downloads
Antonio Afonso, Ludger Schuknecht and Vito Tanzi
860: Oil shocks and endogenous markups - results from an estimated euro area DSGE model Downloads
Marcelo Sánchez
859: Assessing the compensation for volatility risk implicit in interest rate derivatives Downloads
Fabio Fornari
858: International transmission and monetary policy cooperation Downloads
Günter Coenen, Giovanni Lombardo, Frank Rafael Smets and Roland Straub
857: Housing and equity wealth effects of Italian households Downloads
Charles Grant and Tuomas Antero Peltonen
856: Markups in the euro area and the US over the period 1981-2004 - a comparison of 50 sectors Downloads
Rebekka Christopoulou and Philip Vermeulen
855: Assessing the factors behind oil price changes Downloads
Stephane Dees, Audrey Gasteuil, Robert K. Kaufmann and Michael Mann
854: How do firms adjust their wage bill in Belgium? A decomposition along the intensive and extensive margins Downloads
Catherine Fuss
853: The cyclical behavior of equilibrium unemployment and vacancies revisited Downloads
Marcus Hagedorn and Iourii Manovskii
852: Determinants of economic growth - will data tell? Downloads
Antonio Ciccone and Marek Jarociński
851: Investigating inflation persistence across monetary regimes Downloads
Luca Benati
850: Statistical tests and estimators of the rank of a matrix and their applications in econometric modelling Downloads
Camba-Méndez, Gonzalo and George Kapetanios
849: Government size, composition, volatility and economic growth Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Davide Furceri
848: Economic growth and budgetary components - a panel assessment for the EU Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Juan González Alegre
847: Deeper, wider and more competitive? Monetary integration, eastern enlargement and competitiveness in the European Union Downloads
Gianmarco I.P. Ottaviano, Daria Taglioni and Filippo di Mauro
846: Information combination and forecast (st)ability. Evidence from vintages of time-series data Downloads
Carlo Altavilla and Matteo Ciccarelli
845: Run-prone banking and asset markets Downloads
Marie Hoerova
844: Business cycle synchronization and insurance mechanisms in the EU Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Davide Furceri
843: Fiscal forecasting - lessons from the literature and challenges Downloads
Teresa Leal, Javier J. Pérez García, Mika Tujula and Vidal, Jean-Pierre
842: Saving behaviour and global imbalances - the role of emerging market economies Downloads
Gianluigi Ferrucci and Cesar Miralles
841: Should we take inside money seriously? Downloads
Livio Stracca
840: Downward wage rigidity for different workers and firms - an evaluation for Belgium using the IWFP procedure Downloads
Philip Du Caju, Catherine Fuss and Ladislav Wintr
839: Are there oil currencies? The real exchange rate of oil exporting countries Downloads
Maurizio Michael Habib and Margarita Manolova Kalamova
838: Securitisation and the bank lending channel Downloads
Yener Altunbas, Leonardo Gambacorta and David Marqués Ibañez
837: Monetary policy and core inflation Downloads
Michele Lenza
836: Reporting biases and survey results - evidence from European professional forecasters Downloads
Juan Angel García and Andrés Manzanares
835: US shocks and global exchange rate configurations Downloads
Marcel Fratzscher
834: International frictions and optimal monetary policy cooperation - analytical solutions Downloads
Matthieu DARRACQ PARIES
833: Explaining and forecasting euro area exports - which competitiveness indicator performs best? Downloads
Ca’ Zorzi, Michele and Bernd Schnatz (Michele Ca' Zorzi)
832: The yield curve and macroeconomic dynamics Downloads
Peter Hördahl, Oreste Tristani and David Vestin
831: Hierarchical Markov normal mixture models with applications to financial asset returns Downloads
John Geweke and Gianni Amisano (John Geweke and John Geweke)
830: The term structure of euro area break-even inflation rates - the impact of seasonality Downloads
Jacob Ejsing, Juan Angel García and Thomas Werner
829: Modelling inflation in China - a regional perspective Downloads
Aaron Nikolai Mehrotra, Tuomas Antero Peltonen and Alvaro Santos Rivera
828: Potential output growth in several industrialised countries: a comparison Downloads
Christophe Cahn and Saint-Guilhem, Arthur
827: How is real convergence driving nominal convergence in the new EU Member States? Downloads
Sarah Marit Lein, Miguel Leon-Ledesma and Carolin Nerlich
826: Risk sharing, finance and institutions in international portfolios Downloads
Marcel Fratzscher and Jean M. Imbs
825: What can probability forecasts tell us about inflation risks? Downloads
Juan Angel Garcia and Andres Manzanares
824: Evolving U.S. monetary policy and the decline of inflation predictability Downloads
Luca Benati and Paolo Surico
823: Modelling Ireland’s exchange rates: from EMS to EMU Downloads
Edward J. O'Brien, Derek Bond and Michael J. Harrison
822: Exchange rate pass-through to trade prices - the role of non-linearities and asymmetries Downloads
Matthieu Bussiere
821: Social value of public information - testing the limits to transparency Downloads
Michael Ehrmann and Marcel Fratzscher
820: What do we really know about fiscal sustainability in the EU? A panel data diagonostic Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Christophe Rault
819: Proximity and linkages among coalition participants: a new voting power measure applied to the International Monetary Fund Downloads
Julien Reynaud, Christian Thimann and Lukasz Gatarek
818: Is Time ripe for price level path stability? Downloads
Vitor Gaspar, Frank Rafael Smets and David Vestin
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