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Working Paper Series

from European Central Bank
Postfach 16 03 19, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
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589: Forecasting economic aggregates by disaggregates Downloads
David F. Hendry and Kirstin Hubrich
588: Rational inattention, inflation developments and perceptions after the euro cash changeover Downloads
Michael Ehrmann
587: Determinants of business cycle synchronisation across euro area countries Downloads
Uwe Böwer and Catherine Guillemineau
586: A method to generate structural impulse-responses for measuring the effects of shocks in structural macro models Downloads
Andreas Beyer and Roger E. A. Farmer
585: Are specific skills an obstacle to labor market adjustment? Theory and an application to the EU enlargement Downloads
Ana Lamo, Julian Messina and Etienne Wasmer
584: A new theory of forecasting Downloads
Simone Manganelli
583: Back to square one: identification issues in DSGE models Downloads
Fabio Canova and Luca Sala
582: Bank interest rate pass-through in the euro area: a cross country comparison Downloads
Florin O. Bilbiie, André Meier and Gernot J. Müller
581: Public sector efficiency: evidence for new EU member states and emerging markets Downloads
Antonio Afonso, Ludger Schuknecht and Vito Tanzi
580: Bank interest rate pass-through in the euro area: a cross country comparison Downloads
Christoffer Kok Sørensen and Thomas Werner
579: A disaggregated framework for the analysis of structural developments in public finances Downloads
Jana Kremer, Claudia Rodrigues Braz, Teunis Brosens, Geert Langenus, Sandro Momigliano and Mikko Spolander
578: Forecasting ECB monetary policy - accuracy is (still) a matter of geography Downloads
Helge Berger, Michael Ehrmann and Marcel Fratzscher
577: Distortionary taxation, debt, and the price level Downloads
Andreas Schabert and Leopold von Thadden
576: Debt stabilizing fiscal rules Downloads
Philippe Michel, Leopold von Thadden and Vidal, Jean-Pierre
575: Growth in euro area labour quality Downloads
Guido Schwerdt and Jarkko Turunen
574: Inflation convergence and divergence within the European Monetary Union Downloads
Fabio Busetti, Lorenzo Forni, Andrew C. Harvey and Fabrizio Venditti
573: Credit chains and the propagation of financial distress Downloads
Frédéric Boissay
572: Information, habits, and consumption behavior - evidence from micro data Downloads
Mika Kuismanen and Luigi Pistaferri
571: Are emerging market currency crises predictable? A test Downloads
Tuomas A. Peltonen
570: Household debt sustainability - What explains household non-performing loans? An empirical analysis Downloads
Laura Rinaldi and Sanchis-Arellano, Alicia
569: Towards European monetary integration - the evolution of currency risk premium as a measure for monetary convergence prior to the implementation of currency unions Downloads
Fernando González and Simo Launonen
568: Exploring the international linkages of the euro area - a global VAR analysis Downloads
Stephane Dees, Filippo di Mauro, M Hashem Pesaran and L. Vanessa Smith
567: Is time ripe for a currency union in emerging East Asia? The role of monetary stabilisation Downloads
Marcelo Sánchez
566: Real versus financial frictions to capital investment Downloads
Nihal Bayraktar, Plutarchos Sakellaris and Philip Vermeulen
565: The timing of central bank communication Downloads
Michael Ehrmann and Marcel Fratzscher
564: Forecasting the central bank’s inflation objective is a good rule of thumb Downloads
Marie Diron and Benoit Mojon
563: Sticky prices in the euro area - a summary of new micro evidence Downloads
Luis J. Álvarez, Emmanuel Dhyne, Marco Hoeberichts, Claudia Kwapil, Hervé LE BIHAN, Patrick Lünnemann, Roberto Sabbatini, Fernando Manuel Monteiro Martins, Harald Edgar Stahl, Philip Vermeulen and Jouko Vilmunen
562: The price setting behaviour of Portuguese firms - evidence from survey data Downloads
Fernando Manuel Monteiro Martins
561: Price setting in German manufacturing: new evidence from new survey data Downloads
Harald Edgar Stahl
560: The determinants of ‘domestic’ original sin in emerging market economies Downloads
Arnaud Jérôme Mehl and Julien Reynaud
559: When did unsystematic monetary policy have an effect on inflation? Downloads
Benoit Mojon
558: Ricardian fiscal regimes in the European Union Downloads
Antonio Afonso
557: How should central banks communicate? Downloads
Michael Ehrmann and Marcel Fratzscher
556: The role of real wage rigidity and labor market frictions for unemployment and inflation dynamics Downloads
Kai Christoffel and Tobias Linzert
555: Near-rational exuberance Downloads
James Bullard, George William Evans and Seppo Mikko Sakari Honkapohja
554: Equilibrium and inefficiency in fixed rate tenders Downloads
Christian Ewerhart, Nuno Cassola and Natacha Valla
553: Global bond portfolios and EMU Downloads
Philip Lane
552: European Union enlargement and equity markets in accession countries Downloads
Tomas Dvorak and Richard Podpiera
551: Technological diversification Downloads
Miklós Koren and Silvana Tenreyro
550: Underwriter competition and gross spreads in the eurobond market Downloads
Michael G. Kollo
549: Eigenvalue filtering in VAR models with application to the Czech business cycle Downloads
Jaromír Beneš and David Vavra
548: The link between interest rates and exchange rates - do contractionary depreciations make a difference? Downloads
Marcelo Sánchez
547: Bank finance versus bond finance - what explains the differences between US and Europe? Downloads
Fiorella De Fiore and Harald Uhlig
546: The natural real interest rate and the output gap in the euro area - a joint estimation Downloads
Julien Garnier and Wilhelmsen, Bjørn-Roger
545: Trade integration of Central and Eastern European countries - lessons from a gravity model Downloads
Matthieu Bussiere, Jarko Fidrmuc and Bernd Schnatz
544: Forecasting the yield curve in a data-rich environment - a no-arbitrage factor-augmented VAR approach Downloads
Emanuel Mönch (Emanuel Moench)
543: Lending booms in the new EU Member States - will euro adoption matter? Downloads
Michal Brzoza-Brzezina
542: Liquidity and real equilibrium interest rates - a framework of analysis Downloads
Livio Stracca
541: Consumer price behaviour in Luxembourg - evidence from micro CPI data Downloads
Patrick Lünnemann and Thomas Mathä
540: Optimal discretionary policy and uncertainty about inflation persistence Downloads
Richhild Moessner
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