European Economy - Economic Papers

from Directorate General Economic and Monetary Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission
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480: Stochastic public debt projections using the historical variance-covariance matrix approach for EU countries

Katia Berti

479: Expected sovereign defaults and fiscal consolidations

Werner Roeger and in 't Veld, Jan

478: The cyclically-adjusted budget balance used in the EU fiscal framework: an update

Gilles Mourre, George-Marian Isbasoiu, Dario Paternoster and Matteo Salto

477: Indebtedness, Deleveraging Dynamics and Macroeconomic Adjustment

Carlos Cuerpo, Inês Drumond, Julia Lendvai, Peter Pontuch and Rafal Raciborski

476: The accuracy of the European Commission's forecasts re-examined

Laura Gonzalez Cabanillas and Alessio Terzi

475: An early-detection index of fiscal stress for EU countries

Katia Berti, Matteo Salto and Matthieu Lequien

474: The impact of structural policies on external accounts in infinite-horizon and finite-horizon models

Lukas Vogel

473: National Expenditure Rules – Why, How and When

Joaquim Ayuso i Casals

472: Non-bank financial institutions: assessment of their impact on the stability of the financial system

Patrice Muller, Graham Bishop, Shaan Devnani, Mark Lewis and Rohit Ladher

471: Energy Inflation and House Price Corrections

Andreas Breitenfellner, Jesus Crespo Cuaresma and Philipp Mayer

470: The performance of simple fiscal policy rules in monetary union

Lukas Vogel, Werner Roeger and Bernhard Herz

469: Long-term care: need, use and expenditure in the EU-27

Barbara Lipszyc, Etienne Sail and Ana Xavier

468: Fiscal Decentralisation and Fiscal Outcomes

Matteo Governatori and David Yim

467: Measuring quality and non-cost competitiveness at a country-product level

Francesco Di Comite

466: Sovereign debt sustainability scenarios based on an estimated model for Spain

in 't Veld, Jan, Andrea Pagano, Marco Ratto, Werner Roeger and Istvan P Szekely

465: The Dutch current account balance and net international investment position

Windy Vandevyvere

464: Fiscal Policy, Banks and the Financial Crisis

Robert Kollmann, Marco Ratto, Werner Roeger and in 't Veld, Jan

463: Property taxation and enhanced tax administration in challenging times

Christian Gayer and Gilles MOURRE

462: Fiscal consolidation in reformed and unreformed labour markets: A look at EU countries

Alessandro Turrini

461: Cost-containment policies in public pharmaceutical spending in the EU

Giuseppe Carone, Christoph Schwierz and Ana Xavier

460: Fiscal Multipliers and Public Debt Dynamics in Consolidations

Jocelyn Boussard, Francisco de Castro Fernández and Matteo Salto

459: Stochastic debt simulation using VAR models and a panel fiscal reaction function – results for a selected number of countries

João Medeiros

458: Imbalances and rebalancing scenarios in an estimated structural model for Spain

in 't Veld, Jan, Andrea Pagano, Rafal Raciborski, Marco Ratto and Werner Roeger

457: The housing market in the Netherlands

Windy Vandevyvere and Andreas Zenthöfer

456: The economic impact of the Services Directive: A first assessment following implementation

Josefa Monteagudo, Aleksander Rutkowski and Dimitri Lorenzani

455: Structural unemployment and its determinants in the EU countries

Fabrice Orlandi

454: Benchmarking Unemployment Benefit Systems

Klara Stovicek and Alessandro Turrini

453: Evaluating the Macroeconomic Effects of Government Support Measures to Financial Institutions in the EU

in 't Veld, Jan and Werner Roeger

452: Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers: What they are and what they do

in 't Veld, Jan, Martin Larch and Marieke Vandeweyer

451: Inflation forecasting and the crisis: assessing the impact on the performance of different forecasting models and methods

Christian Buelens

450: Securities Transaction Taxes: Macroeconomic Implications in a General-Equilibrium Model

Rafal Raciborski, Julia Lendvai and Lukas Vogel

449: Corporate balance sheet adjustment: stylized facts, causes and consequences

Eric Ruscher and Guntram Wolff

448: Tax avoidance and fiscal limits: Laffer curves in an economy with informal sector

Lukas Vogel

447: The impact of state guarantees on banks' debt issuing costs, lending and funding policy

Patrice Muller, Shaan Devnani and Rasmus Flytkjaer

446: The improbable renaissance of the Phillips curve: The crisis and euro area inflation dynamics

Lourdes Acedo Montoya and Björn Döhring

445: Household savings and mortgage decisions: the role of the "down-payment channel" in the euro area

Narcissa Balta and Eric Ruscher

443: Structural reforms and external rebalancing in the euro area: a model-based analysis

Lukas Vogel

442: From CAB to CAAB? Correcting Indicators of Structural Fiscal Positions for Current Account Imbalances

Julia Lendvai, Laurent Moulin and Alessandro Turrini

441: Measuring Euro Area Monetary Policy Transmission in a Structural Dynamic Factor Model

Matteo Barigozzi, Antonio M. Conti and Matteo Luciani

440: Commodity prices, commodity currencies, and global economic developments

Paolo A. Pesenti and Jan J. J. Groen

439: Fiscal policy and the labour market: the effects of public sector employment and wages

Pedro Gomes

438: Extension of the Study on the Diffusion of Innovation in the Internal Market

Jordi Suriñach, Fabio Manca and Rosina Moreno

437: Food and Energy Prices, Government Subsidies and Fiscal Balances in South Mediterranean Countries

Ronald Albers and Marga Peeters

436: The EMU sovereign-debt crisis: Fundamentals, expectations and contagion

Michael Georgiou Arghyrou and Alexandros Kontonikas

435: The forecasting horizon of inflationary expectations and perceptions in the EU – Is it really 12 months?

Lars Birger Jonung and Staffan Lindén

434: The Price and Risk Effects of Option Introductions on the Nordic Markets

Staffan Lindén

433: Rules and risk in the euro area: does rules-based national fiscal governance contain sovereign bond spreads?

Anna Iara and Guntram Wolff

432: Trade Elasticities: A Final Report for the European Commission

Jean M. Imbs and Isabelle Jeanne Méjean

431: The portfolio balance effect and reserve diversification: an empirical analysis

Costas Karfakis

430: China's External Surplus: Simulations with a Global Macroeconomic Model

Lukas Vogel