Abstract:
This paper proposes an expected utility framework for the treatment of theoretical and empirical issues in technical analysis. Circumstances are found in which a technical analysts' behaviour is 'rationalisable' and schemes for learning such rational behaviour are considered. The decision theoretic perspective developed is shown to be useful in formalising a measure of trading rule optimality, in creating improved rules and in using these rules to create powerful model specification tests.
More papers in Economics Working Papers from European University Institute Address: Badia Fiesolana, Via dei Roccettini, 9, 50016 San Domenico di Fiesole (FI) Italy Contact information at EDIRC. Series data maintained by Marcia Gastaldo ().
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