Stock Prices in a Speculative Market: The Chinese Split-Share Reform
Andrea Beltratti,
Bernardo Bortolotti () and
Marianna Caccavaio Additional contact information Andrea Beltratti: Bocconi University
Marianna Caccavaio: Bocconi University
Abstract:
In 2005-2006 China reformed its stock market by eliminating non-tradable shares. The regulator set general guidelines and then assigned responsibility for implementation to each company. We derive relations that should have been followed by the prices of stocks and exploit a company-level data set to compare the actual and the theoretical price reactions. We find evidence for abnormal returns both before the beginning of the reform and during the reform. Cross-sectionally, abnormal returns are associated mainly with turnover and compensation. This shows that in a speculative market, investors do not properly react to unambiguous corporate actions.