Endogenous business cycles and the dynamics of output, hours, and consumption

No 1998-19, Finance and Economics Discussion Series from Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.)

Abstract: This paper studies the business-cycle fluctuations predicted by a two-sector endogenous-business-cycle model with sector-specific external increasing returns to scale. It focuses on aspects of actual fluctuations that have been identified both as defining features of the business cycle and as ones that standard real-business-cycle models cannot explain: the autocorrelation function of output growth, the impulse response function of output to demand shocks, and the forecastable movements of output, hours, and consumption. For empirically realistic calibrations of the degree of sector-specific external returns to scale, the results suggest that endogenous fluctuations do not provide the dynamic element that is missing in existing real-business-cycle models.

Keywords: Business cycles; Input-output analysis (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: Written 1998
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Related works:
Working Paper: Endogenous Business Cycles and the Dynamics of Output, Hours, and Consumption (1999)
Working Paper: Endogenous business cycles and the dynamics of output, hours, and consumption (1999)
Journal Article: Endogenous Business Cycles and the Dynamics of Output, Hours, and Consumption (2000)
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:fip:fedgfe:1998-19

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