Working Papers

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2008-002: Convergence in the United States: a tale of migration and urbanization

Riccardo DiCecio and Charles Stephen Gascon

2008-001: Multivariate Markov switching with weighted regime determination: giving France more weight than Finland

Michael J. Dueker and Martin Sola

2007-054: Comment on Harding and Pagan 'The econometric analysis of some constructed binary time series'

Michael J. Dueker

2007-053: The tax treatment of homeowners and landlords and the progressivity of income taxation

Matthew S. Chambers, Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf

2007-052: The microstructure of the U.S. treasury market

Bruce Mizrach and Christopher Neely

2007-051: A general equilibrium theory of college with education subsidies, in-school labor supply, and borrowing constraints

Carlos Garriga and Mark P. Keightley

2007-050: States and the business cycle

Michael T. Owyang, David E. Rapach and Howard J. Wall

2007-049: Equilibrium mortgage choice and housing tenure decisions with refinancing

Matthew S. Chambers, Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf

2007-048: The impact of Milton Friedman on modern monetary economics: setting the record straight on Paul Krugman’s 'Who Was Milton Friedman?

Edward Nelson and Anna J. Schwartz

2007-047: Multivariate forecast evaluation and rationality testing

Ivana Komunjer and Michael T. Owyang

2007-046: Urban crime and labor mobility

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Christopher H. Wheeler

2007-045: Human capital externalities and adult mortality in the U.S

Christopher H. Wheeler

2007-044: Lending to uncreditworthy borrowers

Rajdeep Sengupta

2007-043: The labor supply of married women: why does it differ across U.S. cities?

Dan Black, Natalia A. Kolesnikova and Lowell J. Taylor

2007-042: Inter-temporal differences in the income elasticity of demand for lottery tickets

Thomas Garrett and Cletus C. Coughlin

2007-041: Optimal response to a transitory demographic shock in Social Security financing

Juan Carlos Conesa and Carlos Garriga

2007-040: Mortgage contracts and housing tenure decisions

Matthew S. Chambers, Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf

2007-039: The unusual behavior of the federal funds and 10-year Treasury rates: a conundrum or Goodhart’s Law?

Daniel Thornton

2007-038: Political asymmetry and common external tariff in a customs union

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay, Sajal Lahiri and Suryadipta Roy

2007-037: The optimal inflation target in an economy with limited enforcement

Gaetano Antinolfi, Costas Azariadis and James Bullard

2007-036: Optimal taxation with imperfect competition and aggregate returns to specialization

Javier Coto-Martínez, Carlos Garriga and Fernando Sánchez-Losada

2007-035: Optimal fiscal policy in the design of Social Security reforms

Juan Carlos Conesa and Carlos Garriga

2007-034: Accounting for changes in the homeownership rate

Matthew S. Chambers, Carlos Garriga and Don Schlagenhauf

2007-033: Incomplete information and self-fulfilling prophecies

Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen

2007-032: Jumps, cojumps and macro announcements

Jérôme Lahaye, Sébastien Laurent and Christopher Neely

2007-031: Earnings functions when wages and prices vary by location

Dan Black, Natalia A. Kolesnikova and Lowell J. Taylor

2007-030: Managing international portfolios with small capitalization stocks

Massimo Guidolin and Giovanna Nicodano

2007-029: Global indeterminacy in locally determinate RBC models

Tarek Coury and Yi Wen

2007-028: Do donors care about declining trade revenues from liberalization? an analysis of aid allocation

Javed Younas and Subhayu Bandyopadhyay

2007-027: Learning and the Great Moderation

James Bullard and Aarti Singh

2007-026: An overhaul of doctrine: the underpinning of U.K. inflation targeting

Edward Nelson

2007-025: Monetary policy and natural disasters in a DSGE model: how should the Fed have responded to Hurricane Katrina?

Benjamin David Keen and Michael Pakko

2007-024: Trade and child labor: a general equilibrium analysis

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Sudeshna C. Bandyopadhyay

2007-023: Foreign aid and export performance: a panel data analysis of developing countries

Jonathan Munemo, Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Arabinda Basistha

2007-022: Corruption and trade protection: evidence from panel data

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Suryadipta Roy

2007-021: Nash equilibrium tariffs and illegal immigration: an analysis of preferential trade liberalization

Subhayu Bandyopadhyay and Ryo Takashima

2007-020: Monetary policy and stock market booms and busts in the 20th century

Michael D. Bordo, Michael J. Dueker and David Wheelock

2007-019: Multivariate contemporaneous threshold autoregressive models

Michael J. Dueker, Zacharias Psaradakis, Martin Sola and Fabio Spagnolo

2007-018: Understanding the puzzling effects of technology shocks

Pengfei Wang and Yi Wen

2007-017: Affiliated mutual funds and analyst optimism

Simona Mola and Massimo Guidolin

2007-016: Mean-variance vs. full-scale optimization: broad evidence for the U.K

Bjorn Hagstromer, Richard G. Anderson, Jane M. Binner, Thomas Elger and Birger Nilsson

2007-015: Supply shocks, demand shocks, and labor market fluctuations

Helge Braun, Reinout De Bock and Riccardo DiCecio

2007-014: Resolving the unbiasedness and forward premium puzzles

Daniel Thornton

2007-013: Whatever happened to the business cycle? a Bayesian analysis of jobless recoveries

Kristie M. Engemann and Michael T. Owyang

2007-012: Does government spending really crowd out charitable contributions? new time series evidence

Thomas Garrett and Russell M. Rhine

2007-011: Handicapping currency design: counterfeit deterrence and visual accessibility in the United States and abroad

Marcela M. Williams and Richard G. Anderson

2007-010: Identifying asymmetry in the language of the Beige Book: a mixed data sampling approach

Michelle T. Armesto, Ruben Hernandez-Murillo, Michael T. Owyang and Jeremy Piger

2007-009: A model of near-rational exuberance

James Bullard, George William Evans and Seppo Mikko Sakari Honkapohja

2007-008: Monetary policy, judgment and near-rational exuberance

James Bullard, George William Evans and Seppo Mikko Sakari Honkapohja

2007-007: Social learning and monetary policy rules

Jasmina Arifovic, James Bullard and Olena Kostyshyna