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Expectation traps and monetary policy

Stefania Albanesi (), V. V. Chari and Lawrence J. Christiano

No 319, Staff Report from Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Abstract: Why is inflation persistently high in some periods and low in others? The reason may be absence of commitment in monetary policy. In a standard model, absence of commitment leads to multiple equilibria, or expectation traps, even without trigger strategies. In these traps, expectations of high or low inflation lead the public to take defensive actions, which then make accommodating those expectations the optimal monetary policy. Under commitment, the equilibrium is unique and the inflation rate is low on average. This analysis suggests that institutions which promote commitment can prevent high inflation episodes from recurring.

Keywords: Monetary policy; Inflation (Finance); Consumer behavior (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge, nep-mac and nep-mon
Date: 2003
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Published in Review of Economic Studies> (Vol. 70, No. 4, October 2003, pp. 715-41)

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Related works:
Working Paper: Expectation Traps and Monetary Policy (2002) Downloads
Working Paper: Expectation Traps and Monetary Policy (2002) Downloads
Working Paper: Expectation traps and monetary policy (2002) Downloads
Working Paper: Expectation Traps and Monetary Policy Downloads
Journal Article: Expectation Traps and Monetary Policy (2003) Downloads
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