On the needed quantity of government debt

Kathryn Birkeland and Edward C. Prescott

No 648, Working Papers from Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis

Abstract: People are having longer retirement periods, and population growth is slowing and has even stopped in some countries. In this paper we determined the implications of these changes for the needed amount of government debt. The needed debt is near zero if there are high tax rates and the transfer share of gross national income (GNI) is high. But, with such a system there are huge dead-weight losses as the result of the high tax rate on labor income. With a savings system, a large government debt to annual GNI ratio is needed, as large as 5 times GNI, and welfare is as much as 24 percent higher in terms of lifetime consumption equivalents than the tax-and-transfer system.

New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pbe
Date: 2006
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Journal Article: On the needed quantity of government debt (2007)
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