Abstract:
Recent currency crises in Filand are analyzed. First probit model estimations suggest that growth, unemployment, real exchange rate and contagion effects have affected the probability of a currenycy crisis. Second, empirical shadow floating exchange rates are formed using a revised version of Blanco-Garber method. This method offers structural explanations for the findings of the probit models. Also, it allows studying how the size of foreign reserves fas affected the probability of a crisis.
Keywords:CURRENCIES; SPECULATION (search for similar items in EconPapers) JEL-codes:E41E51F33 (search for similar items in EconPapers) Date: 1998
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More papers in University of Helsinki, Department of Economics from Department of Economics Address: University of Helsinki; Department of Economics, P.O.Box 54 (Unioninkatu 37) FIN-00014 Helsingin Yliopisto Contact information at EDIRC. Series data maintained by Thomas Krichel ().
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