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Evaluating the Temporal and the Spatial Heterogeneity of the European Convergence Process, 1980-1999

Julie Le Gallo () and Sandy DALL’ERBA (REAL, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign)

Cahiers du GRES from Groupement de Recherches Economiques et Sociales

Abstract: In this paper, we suggest a general framework that allows testing simultaneously for temporal heterogeneity, spatial heterogeneity and spatial autocorrelation in b-convergence models. Based on a sample of 145 European regions over the 1980-1999 period, we estimate a Seemingly Unrelated Regression Model with spatial regimes and spatial autocorrelation for two sub-periods: 1980-1989 and 1989-1999. The assumption of temporal independence between the two-periods is rejected and the estimation results point to the presence of spatial error autocorrelation in both sub-periods and spatial instability in the second sub-period, indicating the formation of a convergence club between the peripheral regions of the European Union.

Keywords: b-convergence models; spatial autocorrelation; convergence clubs; temporal instability (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 O52 R11 R15 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec and nep-geo
Date: 2004

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Working Paper: Evaluating the temporal and the spatial heterogeneity of the European convergence process, 1980-1999 (2004) Downloads
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:grs:wpegrs:2004-23

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