Do misalignments predict aggregated stock-market volatility?
Christophe Boucher (),
Bertrand Maillet and
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Christophe Boucher: CES - Centre d'économie de la Sorbonne - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - UP1 - Université Panthéon-Sorbonne
Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) from HAL
This paper considers forecasting regressions of "realized volatility" on a misalignment measure. Results show that this misalignment measure is useful to predict in and out-of-sample stock-market volatility at monthly horizons. The analysis also suggests a threshold effect.
Keywords: Realized volatility; Volatility forecasting; Asymmetry (search for similar items in EconPapers)
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Published in Economics Letters, Elsevier, 2008, 100 (2), pp.317-320. <10.1016/j.econlet.2008.02.019>
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Journal Article: Do misalignments predict aggregated stock-market volatility? (2008)
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hal:cesptp:hal-00307783
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