Are Free Trade Agreements Contagious?

Richard Baldwin and Dany Jaimovich ()

No 12, CCES Discussion Paper Series from Center for Research on Contemporary Economic Systems, Graduate School of Economics, Hitotsubashi University

Abstract: This paper presents empirical evidence on the extent to which FTAs are "contagious", using empirical techniques inspired by the study of contagion in exchange rate crises. Applying a series of different econometric techniques, it tests the null hypothesis that the signing of an FTA between one nation's trade partners has no affect on the probability of the nation signing a new FTA. The hypothesis is tested against other political, economical and geographical determinants of the FTA formation previously stated in the literature, finding evidence that the contagion phenomenon is present in different specifications and samples.

Keywords: Contagion Effect; Free Trade Agreements and International Trade (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F13 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2009-04
Note: This version: 09 March 2009

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http://hermes-ir.lib.hit-u.ac.jp/rs/bitstream/10086/17291/1/070ccesDP_12.pdf (application/pdf)

Related works:
Working Paper: Are Free Trade Agreements Contagious? (2009)
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:hit:ccesdp:12

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