Conditioning and the Sure-Thing Principle

Robert J. Aumann, Sergiu Hart () and Motty Perry ()

Discussion Paper Series from Center for Rationality and Interactive Decision Theory, Hebrew University, Jerusalem

Abstract: This paper undertakes a careful examination of the concept of conditional probability and its use. The ideas are then applied to resolve a conceptual puzzle related to Savage's "Sure-Thing Principle."

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Date: 2005-06
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Working Paper: Conditioning and the Sure-Thing Principle (2005)
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