The Secretary Problem of Minimizing Expected Rank: A Simple Suboptimal Approach with Generalizations

Abba M. Krieger and Ester Samuel-Cahn

Discussion Paper Series from Center for Rationality and Interactive Decision Theory, Hebrew University, Jerusalem

Abstract: The secretary problem for selecting one item so as to minimize its expected rank, based on observing the relative ranks only, is revisited. A simple suboptimal rule, which performs almost as well as the optimal rule, is given. The rule stops with the smallest i such that Ri <= ic/(n + 1 - i) for a given constant c, where Ri is the relative rank of the ith observation, and n is the total number of items. This rule has added flexibility. i) A curtailed version thereof can be used to select an item with a given probability P, P < 1. ii) The rule can be used to select two or more items. The problem of selecting a fixed proportion, a, 0 < a < 1, of n, is also treated. Numerical results are included to illustrate the findings.

Date: 2009-01
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