Electoral goals and center-state transfers: A Theoretical model and empirical evidence from India

Wiji Arulampalam (), Sugato Dasgupta (), Amrita Dhillon () and Bhaskar Dutta ()
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Sugato Dasgupta: Jawaharlal Nehru Univesity, New Delhi
Amrita Dhillon: University of Warwick, UK

Indian Statistical Institute, Planning Unit, New Delhi Discussion Papers from Indian Statistical Institute, New Delhi, India

Abstract: We construct a model of redistributive politics where the central government is opportunistic and uses its discretion to make transfers to state governments on the basis of political considerations. These considerations are the alignment between the incumbent parties at the central and state levels and whether a state is a swing state or not. A testable prediction from the model is that a state that is both swing and aligned with the central government is especially likely to receive higher transfers. We test this prediction using Indian data for 14 states from 1974-75 to 1996-97. We ?nd that a state which is both aligned and swing in the last state election is estimated to receive 16 higher transfers than a state which is unaligned and non-swing.

Keywords: Redistributive Politics; Alignment; Swing; Electoral Competition (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C72 D72 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
Date: 2008-01
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Related works:
Working Paper: Electoral Goals and Center-State Transfers: A Theoretical Model and Empirical Evidence from India (2008)
Journal Article: Electoral goals and center-state transfers: A theoretical model and empirical evidence from India (2009)
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