Abstract:
This paper compares the welfare under two standard alternative exchange rate regimes, fixed and flexible, in a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium two-country setting. Conventional wisdom holds that countries often prefer low exchange-rate variability to stabilize trade. This may explain the observed `fear of floating' in emerging markets -- although most of them claim to adopt a flexible system, in reality they often intervene to peg. We show that under incomplete capital markets a fixed exchange rate regime unambiguously increases trade and improves welfare. This provides a potential explanation for the observed exchange rate policies in emerging markets.
More papers in Staff General Research Papers from Iowa State University, Department of Economics Address: Iowa State University, Dept. of Economics, 260 Heady Hall, Ames, IA 50011-1070 Contact information at EDIRC. Series data maintained by Stephanie Bridges ().
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