EconPapers    
Economics at your fingertips  
 

Comparing Monetary Policy Reaction Functions: ECB versus Bundesbank

Bernd Hayo () and Boris Hofmann ()

No 200502, Marburg Working Papers on Economics from Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung)

Abstract: This paper compares the ECB’s conduct of monetary policy with that of the Bundesbank. Estimated monetary policy reaction functions for the Bundesbank (1979:4-1998:12) and the European Central Bank (1999:1-2004:5) show that, while the ECB and the Bundesbank react similarly to expected inflation, the ECB reacts significantly stronger to the output gap. Theoretical considerations suggest that this stronger response to the output gap may rather be due to a higher interest rate sensitivity of the German output gap than to a higher weight given to output stabilisation by the ECB. Counterfactual simulations based on the estimated interest rate reaction functions suggest that German interest rates would not have been lower under a hypothetical Bundesbank regime after 1999. However, this conclusion crucially depends on the assumption of an unchanged long-run real interest rate for the EMU period. Adjusting the Bundesbank reaction function for the lower long-run real interest rate estimated for the ECB regime reverses this conclusion.

Keywords: Taylor rule; monetary policy; ECB; Bundesbank (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E5 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-cba, nep-eec, nep-fmk, nep-mac and nep-mon
Date: 2005
References: View references in EconPapers View complete reference list from CitEc
Citations View citations in EconPapers (6) Track citations by RSS feed

Downloads: (external link)
http://www.uni-marburg.de/fb02/makro/forschung/gel ... 05-02-Hayo-final.pdf First version, 2005 (application/pdf)

Related works:
Journal Article: Comparing monetary policy reaction functions: ECB versus Bundesbank (2006) Downloads
Working Paper: Comparing Monetary Policy Reaction Functions: ECB versus Bundesbank (2005) Downloads
Working Paper: Comparing Monetary Policy Reaction Functions: ECB versus Bundesbank (2004) Downloads
This item may be available elsewhere in EconPapers: Search for items with the same title.

Export reference: BibTeX RIS (EndNote, ProCite, RefMan) HTML/Text

Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mar:volksw:200502

Access Statistics for this paper

More papers in Marburg Working Papers on Economics from Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung)
Contact information at EDIRC.
Series data maintained by Bernd Hayo ().

 
Page updated 2014-10-09
Handle: RePEc:mar:volksw:200502