Transition démographique, chômage involontaire et redistribution intergénérationnelle: simulations dans un cadre d'équilibre général à générations imbriquées

Mouez Fodha () and Patricia Le Maitre ()
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Patricia Le Maitre: Université de Bretagne Sud

Documents de travail du Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne from Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1), Centre d'Economie de la Sorbonne

Abstract: Pay as-you-go social security schemes will face increasing difficulties in the next few years due to population aging, which results from both extension of life expectancy and sharp decrease in fertility rates. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate within a computable general equilibrium model the consequences of different reforms within an economy with two types of agents : unqualified ones facing unemployment and qualified ones. We show that a mixed reform with two instruments (introduction of a funded pension system and decreasing of benefits) is Pareto-improving in the long term, while damaging welfare distribution. Morerover, simultations show that the increase of the legal retirement age should be up to seven years.

Keywords: Overlapping generations model; pay as-you-go pension system; ageing population; involuntary unemployment. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: J11 H55 C68 D91 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-age and nep-dge
Date: 2007-03
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Working Paper: Transition démographique, chômage involontaire et redistribution intergénérationnelle: simulations dans un cadre d'équilibre général à générations imbriquées (2007)
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:mse:cesdoc:v07011

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