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NBER Working Papers

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23343: Growing, Shrinking, and Long Run Economic Performance: Historical Perspectives on Economic Development Downloads
Stephen Broadberry and John Joseph Wallis
23342: The Effect of Public Insurance Expansions on Substance Use Disorder Treatment: Evidence from the Affordable Care Act Downloads
Johanna Catherine Maclean and Brendan Saloner
23341: Precaution Versus Mercantilism: Reserve Accumulation, Capital Controls, and the Real Exchange Rate Downloads
Woo Jin Choi and Alan M. Taylor
23340: The Effect of Fuel Economy Standards on Vehicle Weight Dispersion and Accident Fatalities Downloads
Antonio Bento, Kenneth Gillingham and Kevin Roth
23339: Policy Distortions and Aggregate Productivity with Endogenous Establishment-Level Productivity Downloads
José-María Da-Rocha, Marina Mendes Tavares and Diego Restuccia
23338: The Income Elasticity of Import Demand: Micro Evidence and An Application Downloads
David Hummels and Kwan Yong Lee
23337: Queens Downloads
Oeindrila Dube and S.P. Harish
23336: 35 Years of Reforms: A Panel Analysis of the Incidence of, and Employee and Employer Responses to, Social Security Contributions in the UK Downloads
Stuart Adam, David Phillips and Barra Roantree
23335: An Economic Approach to Alleviate the Crises of Confidence in Science: With an Application to the Public Goods Game Downloads
Luigi Butera and John A. List
23334: The Effect of Stress on Later-Life Health: Evidence from the Vietnam Draft Downloads
John Cawley, Damien de Walque and Daniel Grossman
23333: The Effect of Labor Market Information on Community College Students’ Major Choice Downloads
Rachel Baker, Eric Bettinger, Brian Jacob and Ioana Marinescu
23332: Distortions and the Structure of the World Economy Downloads
Lorenzo Caliendo, Fernando Parro and Aleh Tsyvinski
23331: Risk Management with Supply Contracts Downloads
Heitor Almeida, Kristine Watson Hankins and Ryan Williams
23330: Tradability and the Labor-Market Impact of Immigration: Theory and Evidence from the U.S Downloads
Ariel Burstein, Gordon Hanson, Lin Tian and Jonathan Vogel
23329: How the Growing Gap in Life Expectancy May Affect Retirement Benefits and Reforms Downloads
Alan Auerbach, Kerwin K. Charles, Courtney Coile, William Gale, Dana Goldman, Ronald Lee, Charles M. Lucas, Peter R. Orszag, Louise M. Sheiner, Bryan Tysinger, David Weil, Justin Wolfers and Rebeca Wong
23328: Firm Heterogeneity in Skill Demands Downloads
David Deming and Lisa Kahn
23327: Did the Reform Fix the London Fix Problem? Downloads
Takatoshi Ito and Masahiro Yamada
23326: Estimating the Gains from New Rail Transit Investment: A Machine Learning Tree Approach Downloads
Seungwoo Chin, Matthew E. Kahn and Hyungsik Roger Moon
23325: Is Europe an Optimal Political Area? Downloads
Alberto Alesina, Guido Tabellini and Francesco Trebbi
23324: Offshore Profit Shifting and Domestic Productivity Measurement Downloads
Fatih Guvenen, Raymond J. Mataloni, Jr., Dylan G. Rassier and Kim Ruhl
23323: China's GDP Growth May be Understated Downloads
Hunter Clark, Maxim Pinkovskiy and Xavier Sala-i-Martin
23322: Population and Civil War Downloads
Daron Acemoglu, Leopoldo Fergusson and Simon Johnson
23321: Top Income Inequality in the 21st Century: Some Cautionary Notes Downloads
Fatih Guvenen and Greg Kaplan
23320: The Productivity Advantage of Serial Entrepreneurs Downloads
Kathryn L. Shaw and Anders Sørensen
23319: Evolution of Assessments of the Economics of Global Warming: Changes in the DICE model, 1992 – 2017 Downloads
William Nordhaus
23318: Distributional Impacts of Energy Taxes Downloads
William Pizer and Steven Sexton
23317: Is Post-Crisis Bond Liquidity Lower? Downloads
Mike Anderson and René M. Stulz
23316: Monetary Policy and Global Banking Downloads
Falk Bräuning and Victoria Ivashina
23315: Accounting for Growth in the Age of the Internet: The Importance of Output-Saving Technical Change Downloads
Charles Hulten and Leonard Nakamura
23314: Sovereign Default Risk and Firm Heterogeneity Downloads
Cristina Arellano, Yan Bai and Luigi Bocola
23313: The Effects of E-Cigarette Minimum Legal Sale Age Laws on Youth Substance Use Downloads
Dhaval Dave, Bo Feng and Michael F. Pesko
23312: Self-Fulfilling Debt Crises, Revisited: The Art of the Desperate Deal Downloads
Mark Aguiar, Satyajit Chatterjee, Harold Cole and Zachary Stangebye
23311: Measuring the Effects of Federal Reserve Forward Guidance and Asset Purchases on Financial Markets Downloads
Eric Swanson
23310: Government Debt and Corporate Leverage: International Evidence Downloads
Irem Demirci, Jennifer Huang and Clemens Sialm
23309: The Effects of Financial Development on Foreign Direct Investment Downloads
Rodolphe Desbordes and Shang-Jin Wei
23308: Do Payroll Tax Breaks Stimulate Formality? Evidence from Colombia’s Reform Downloads
Adriana Kugler, Maurice Kugler and Luis Omar Herrera Prada
23307: The Long Reach of Education: Health, Wealth, and DI Participation Downloads
James Poterba, Steven F. Venti and David Wise
23306: Underestimating the Real Growth of GDP, Personal Income and Productivity Downloads
Martin Feldstein
23305: Asset Allocation in Bankruptcy Downloads
Shai Bernstein, Emanuele Colonnelli and Ben Iverson
23304: The Formation of Expectations, Inflation and the Phillips Curve Downloads
Olivier Coibion, Yuriy Gorodnichenko and Rupal Kamdar
23303: Subrogation and the Theory of Insurance When Suits Can Be Brought for Losses Suffered Downloads
A. Mitchell Polinsky and Steven Shavell
23302: Financial Intermediary Capital Downloads
Adriano Rampini and S. Viswanathan
23301: Roots of Autocracy Downloads
Oded Galor and Marc Klemp
23300: What Drives Differences in Management? Downloads
Nicholas Bloom, Erik Brynjolfsson, Lucia Foster, Ron Jarmin, Megha Patnaik, Itay Saporta-Eksten and John van Reenen
23299: Channels of Impact: User Reviews when Quality is Dynamic and Managers Respond Downloads
Judith Chevalier, Yaniv Dover and Dina Mayzlin
23298: Identification of and Correction for Publication Bias Downloads
Isaiah Andrews and Maximilian Kasy
23297: Seeing and Hearing: The Impacts of New York City’s Universal Prekindergarten Program on the Health of Low-Income Children Downloads
Kai Hong, Kacie Dragan and Sherry Glied
23296: The Value of Flexible Work: Evidence from Uber Drivers Downloads
M. Keith Chen, Judith Chevalier, Peter Rossi and Emily Oehlsen
23295: Citywide Effects of High-Occupancy Vehicle Restrictions: Evidence from the Elimination of ‘3-in-1’ in Jakarta Downloads
Rema Hanna, Gabriel Kreindler and Benjamin Olken
23294: Risk Aversion as a Perceptual Bias Downloads
Mel Win Khaw, Ziang Li and Michael Woodford
23293: What can we Learn from Euro-Dollar Tweets? Downloads
Vahid Gholampour and Eric van Wincoop
23292: Fifty Years Of Growth In American Consumption, Income, And Wages Downloads
Bruce Sacerdote
23291: The Cross Section of Bank Value Downloads
Mark Egan, Stefan Lewellen and Adi Sunderam
23290: Strengthening National Data to Better Measure What We Are Buying in Health Care: Reconciling National Health Expenditures with Detailed Survey Data Downloads
Allison B. Rosen, Kaushik Ghosh, Emily S. Pape, Marcelo Coca Perraillon, Irina Bondarenko, Kassandra L. Messer, Trivellore Raghunathan, Susan T. Stewart and David Cutler
23289: Migrants and the Making of America: The Short- and Long-Run Effects of Immigration during the Age of Mass Migration Downloads
Sandra Sequeira, Nathan Nunn and Nancy Qian
23288: Fintech, Regulatory Arbitrage, and the Rise of Shadow Banks Downloads
Greg Buchak, Gregor Matvos, Tomasz Piskorski and Amit Seru
23287: Bank Capital Redux: Solvency, Liquidity, and Crisis Downloads
Oscar Jorda, Björn Richter, Moritz Schularick and Alan Taylor
23286: Life Insurance and Life Settlement Markets with Overconfident Policyholders Downloads
Hanming Fang and Zenan Wu
23285: Robots and Jobs: Evidence from US Labor Markets Downloads
Daron Acemoglu and Pascual Restrepo
23284: Students in Distress: Labor Market Shocks, Student Loan Default, and Federal Insurance Programs Downloads
Holger M. Mueller and Constantine Yannelis
23283: Horizontal and Vertical Polarization: Task-Specific Technological Change in a Multi-Sector Economy Downloads
Sang Yoon Lee and Yongseok Shin
23282: What do Editors Maximize? Evidence from Four Leading Economics Journals Downloads
David Card and Stefano DellaVigna
23281: Monetary Policy, Bounded Rationality, and Incomplete Markets Downloads
Emmanuel Farhi and Iván Werning
23280: Mapping the Interconnectedness between EU Banks and Shadow Banking Entities Downloads
Jorge Abad, Marco D'Errico, Neill Killeen, Vera Luz, Tuomas Peltonen, Richard Portes and Teresa Urbano
23279: Urban Productivity in the Developing World Downloads
Edward Glaeser and Wentao Xiong
23278: The Political Economy of Heterogeneity and Conflict Downloads
Enrico Spolaore and Romain Wacziarg
23277: Do The Effects of Social Nudges Persist? Theory and Evidence from 38 Natural Field Experiments Downloads
Alec Brandon, Paul J. Ferraro, John List, Robert D. Metcalfe, Michael Price and Florian Rundhammer
23276: Text as Data Downloads
Matthew Gentzkow, Bryan T. Kelly and Matt Taddy
23275: Medium- and Long-Term Educational Consequences of Alternative Conditional Cash Transfer Designs: Experimental Evidence from Colombia Downloads
Felipe Barrera-Osorio, Leigh L. Linden and Juan Saavedra
23274: Demand for Information and Asset Pricing Downloads
Azi Ben-Rephael, Bruce I. Carlin, Zhi Da and Ryan D. Israelsen
23273: Competing for Capital: Auditing and Credibility in Financial Reporting Downloads
Raphael Boleslavsky, Bruce I. Carlin and Christopher Cotton
23272: Tropical Forests, Tipping Points, and the Social Cost of Deforestation Downloads
Sergio L. Franklin, Jr. and Robert Pindyck
23271: Adaptation and the Mortality Effects of Temperature Across U.S. Climate Regions Downloads
Garth Heutel, Nolan H. Miller and David Molitor
23270: Regional Heterogeneity and Monetary Policy Downloads
Martin Beraja, Andreas Fuster, Erik Hurst and Joseph Vavra
23269: Early Effects of the Affordable Care Act on Health Care Access, Risky Health Behaviors, and Self-Assessed Health Downloads
Charles Courtemanche, James Marton, Benjamin Ukert, Aaron Yelowitz and Daniela Zapata
23268: What is a Patent Worth? Evidence from the U.S. Patent “Lottery” Downloads
Joan Farre-Mensa, Deepak Hegde and Alexander Ljungqvist
23267: Exchange Rate Prediction Redux: New Models, New Data, New Currencies Downloads
Yin-Wong Cheung, Menzie Chinn, Antonio Garcia Pascual and Yi Zhang
23266: Exchange Rate Policies at the Zero Lower Bound Downloads
Manuel Amador, Javier Bianchi, Luigi Bocola and Fabrizio Perri
23265: Minimizing Justified Envy in School Choice: The Design of New Orleans' OneApp Downloads
Atila Abdulkadiroglu, Yeon-Koo Che, Parag A. Pathak, Alvin Roth and Olivier Tercieux
23264: Living Up to Expectations: How Job Training Made Women Better Off and Men Worse Off Downloads
Paloma Acevedo, Guillermo Cruces, Paul Gertler and Sebastian Martinez
23263: Revising Infant Mortality Rates for the Early 20th Century United States Downloads
Katherine Eriksson, Gregory Niemesh and Melissa Thomasson
23262: Annuity Options in Public Pension Plans: The Curious Case of Social Security Leveling Downloads
Robert L. Clark, Robert G. Hammond, Melinda S. Morrill and David Vanderweide
23261: Characterizing Global Value Chains: Production Length and Upstreamness Downloads
Zhi Wang, Shang-Jin Wei, Xinding Yu and Kunfu Zhu
23260: The Surprising Pass-Through of Solar Subsidies Downloads
Jacquelyn Pless and Arthur A. van Benthem
23259: Does Quebec's Subsidized Child Care Policy Give Boys and Girls an Equal Start? Downloads
Michael J. Kottelenberg and Steven Lehrer
23258: Is the Internet Causing Political Polarization? Evidence from Demographics Downloads
Levi Boxell, Matthew Gentzkow and Jesse Shapiro
23257: The Impact of Information Technology on the Diffusion of New Pharmaceuticals
Kenneth J. Arrow, Kamran Bilir and Alan T. Sorensen
23256: Memory, Attention, and Choice Downloads
Pedro Bordalo, Nicola Gennaioli and Andrei Shleifer
23255: Corporate Culture: Evidence from the Field Downloads
John R. Graham, Campbell Harvey, Jillian Popadak and Shivaram Rajgopal
23254: Myopia and Discounting Downloads
Xavier Gabaix and David Laibson
23253: Reevaluating Agricultural Productivity Gaps with Longitudinal Microdata Downloads
Joan Hamory Hicks, Marieke Kleemans, Nicholas Y. Li and Edward Miguel
23252: Banking on Trust: How Debit Cards Enable the Poor to Save More Downloads
Pierre Bachas, Paul Gertler, Sean Higgins and Enrique Seira
23251: Globalization Policies and Israel’s Brain Drain Downloads
Assaf Razin
23250: Vertical and Horizontal Redistributions from a Carbon Tax and Rebate Downloads
Julie Anne Cronin, Don Fullerton and Steven E. Sexton
23249: Firm Selection and Corporate Cash Holdings Downloads
Juliane Begenau and Berardino Palazzo
23248: CEO Behavior and Firm Performance Downloads
Oriana Bandiera, Stephen Hansen, Andrea Prat and Raffaella Sadun
23247: Training Contracts, Employee Turnover, and the Returns from Firm-sponsored General Training Downloads
Mitchell Hoffman and Stephen Burks
23246: International Inflation Spillovers Through Input Linkages Downloads
Raphael Auer, Andrei Levchenko and Philip Sauré
23245: Financial Cycles with Heterogeneous Intermediaries Downloads
Nuno Coimbra and Helene Rey
23244: A Head-to-Head Comparison of Augmented Wealth in Germany and the United States Downloads
Timm Bönke, Markus Grabka, Carsten Schröder and Edward N. Wolff
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