Towards An Understanding of the Real Effects and Costs of Inflation

Stanley Fischer and Franco Modigliani

No 303, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: The organization of the paper is simple. We start by examining the real effects of anticipated inflation in an economy that has fully adapted to inflation. In particular, in this economy: (i) public institutions are fully attuned to inflation (or inflation proof), (ii) the same is true of private institutions, (iii) current and future inflation is fully reflected in inherited contracts, and (iv) future inflation is fully reflected in contracts for the future. After we have discussed the effects of anticipated inflation in this environment, we examine the real effects of inflation that arise as the assumptions (i) to (iv) are dropped one after the other. The effects cumulate in the sense that those present in the economy that has fully adapted to inflation are also present in economies with non-inflation proof institutions, and so on.

Date: 1980-04
Note: ME EFG
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Journal Article: Towards an understanding of the real effects and costs of inflation (1978)
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