Asymmetric Cycles

Boyan Jovanovic ()

No 10573, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: I estimate a model in which new technology entails random adjustment costs. Rapid adjustments may cause productivity slowdowns. These slowdowns last longer when retooling is costly. The model explains why growth-rate disasters are more likely than miracles, and why volatility of growth relates negatively to growth over time. I estimate the model, and the estimates have surprising implications. Firms seem to abandon technologies long before they are perfected current-practice TFP is 17 percent below best-practice.

JEL-codes: E3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-dge and nep-mac
Date: 2004-06
Note: EFG PR
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Journal Article: Asymmetric Cycles (2006)
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