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FDI and Trade -- Two Way Linkages?

Joshua Aizenman () and Ilan Noy ()

No 11403, NBER Working Papers from National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc

Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to investigate the intertemporal linkages between FDI and disaggregated measures of international trade. We outline a model exemplifying some of these linkages, describe several methods for investigating two-way feedbacks between various categories of trade, and apply them to the recent experience of developing countries. After controlling for other macroeconomic and institutional effects, we find that the strongest feedback between the sub-accounts is between FDI and manufacturing trade. More precisely, applying Geweke (1982)%u2019s decomposition method, we find that most of the linear feedback between trade and FDI (81%) can be accounted for by Granger-causality from FDI gross flows to trade openness (50%) and from trade to FDI (31%). The rest of the total linear feedback is attributable to simultaneous correlation between the two annual series.

JEL-codes: F15 F21 F36 H21 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-pbe
Date: 2005-06
Note: ITI
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Related works:
Working Paper: FDI and Trade - Two Way Linkages? (2005) Downloads
Working Paper: FDI and Trade – Two Way Linkages? (2005) Downloads
Journal Article: FDI and trade--Two-way linkages? (2006) Downloads
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