NBER Working Papers

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16060: The Collateral Channel: How Real Estate Shocks Affect Corporate Investment

Thomas Chaney, David Alexandre Sraer and David Thesmar

16059: The Great Trade Collapse of 2008-09: An Inventory Adjustment?

George Alessandria, Joseph P. Kaboski and Virgiliu Midrigan

16058: Aggregate Idiosyncratic Volatility

Geert Bekaert, Robert James Hodrick and Xiaoyan Zhang

16057: Segregation and Tiebout Sorting: Investigating the Link between Investments in Public Goods and Neighborhood Tipping

Spencer Banzhaf and Randall Phillip Walsh

16056: Competitive Effects of Means-Tested School Vouchers

David Figlio and Cassandra M.D. Hart

16055: Unpacking Neighborhood Influences on Education Outcomes: Setting the Stage for Future Research

David J. Harding, Lisa Gennetian, Christopher Winship, Lisa Sanbonmatsu and Jeffrey Richard Kling

16054: The Optimal Rate of Inflation

Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe

16053: Distributional Implications of Alternative U.S. Greenhouse Gas Control Measures

Sebastian Rausch, Gilbert Metcalf, John Matthew Reilly and Sergey Paltsev

16052: External Capital Structures and Oil Price Volatility

John D. Burger, Alessandro Rebucci, Francis E. Warnock and Veronica Cacdac Warnock

16051: Are Increasing 5-Year Survival Rates Evidence of Success Against Cancer? A reexamination using data from the U.S. and Australia

Frank Lichtenberg

16050: Ambiguity and Climate Policy

Antony Millner, Simon Dietz and Geoffrey Heal

16049: Contracts between Legal Persons

Lewis A. Kornhauser and W. Bentley Macleod

16048: Great Expectations: Law, Employment Contracts, and Labor Market Performance

W. Bentley Macleod

16047: Are Leading Indicators of Financial Crises Useful for Assessing Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Crisis

Jeffrey Alexander Frankel and George Saravelos

16046: Exports, Borders, Distance, and Plant Size

Thomas J. Holmes and John Stevens

16045: Decomposition Methods in Economics

Nicole M. Fortin, Thomas Lemieux and Sergio Firpo

16044: Does Foreign Exchange Reserve Decumulation Lead to Currency Appreciation?

Kathryn Mary Elizabeth Dominguez, Rasmus Fatum and Pavel Vacek

16043: Growth Accounting with Misallocation: Or, Doing Less with More in Singapore

John Fernald and Brent Neiman

16042: Chasing Noise

Brock Mendel and Andrei Shleifer

16041: CEO Overconfidence and Innovation

Alberto Galasso and Timothy S. Simcoe

16040: Coordination, Switching Costs and the Division of Labor in General Medicine: An Economic Explanation for the Emergence of Hospitalists in the United States

David O. Meltzer and Jeanette W. Chung

16039: An Empirical Model for Strategic Network Formation

Nicholas A. Christakis, James H. Fowler, Guido Imbens and Karthik Kalyanaraman

16038: Investment under Uncertainty: Testing the Options Model with Professional Traders

John List and Michael S. Haigh

16037: Measuring the Economic Effect of Global Warming on Viticulture Using Auction, Retail, and Wholesale Prices

Orley Ashenfelter and Karl Storchmann

16036: How Can Behavioral Economics Inform Non-Market Valuation? An Example from the Preference Reversal Literature

Jonathan E. Alevy, John List and Wiktor Adamowicz

16035: Rare Disasters and Risk Sharing with Heterogeneous Beliefs

Hui Chen, Scott Joslin and Ngoc-Khanh Tran

16034: Does Trade Cause Capital to Flow? Evidence from Historical Rainfalls

Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Alex Oleksandr Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy

16033: Evidence on the Determinants of the Choice between Wage Posting and Wage Bargaining

Robert Ernest Hall and Alan B. Krueger

16032: The Impact of Competition on Management Quality: Evidence from Public Hospitals

Nicholas Bloom, Carol Propper, Stephan Seiler and John Michael van Reenen

16031: Self-Fulfilling Credit Market Freezes

Lucian Bebchuk and Itay Goldstein

16030: Where Are The Health Care Entrepreneurs? The Failure of Organizational Innovation in Health Care

David M. Cutler

16029: All Banks Great, Small, and Global: Loan pricing and foreign competition

Beatriz de Blas and Katheryn Niles Russ

16028: Matching with Couples: Stability and Incentives in Large Markets

Fuhito Kojima, Parag Pathak and Alvin E. Roth

16027: Global shocks, economic growth and financial crises: 120 years of New Zealand experience

Michael David Bordo, David Hargreaves and Mizuho Kida

16026: Genetic Interactions with Prenatal Social Environment: Effects on Academic and Behavioral Outcomes

Dalton Conley and Emily Rauscher

16025: How Much is Social Capital Worth?

John F. Helliwell and Christopher Paul Barrington-Leigh

16024: Understanding Creativity

David W. Galenson

16023: The Cost of Debt

Jules H. van Binsbergen, John Graham and Jie Yang

16022: Rationalizing Trading Frequency and Returns

Yosef Bonaparte and Russell Cooper

16021: Economic Opportunities and Gender Differences in Human Capital: Experimental Evidence for India

Robert T. Jensen

16020: Financial Innovation, the Discovery of Risk, and the U.S. Credit Crisis

Emine Boz and Enrique G. Mendoza

16019: Human Resource Management and Productivity

Nicholas Bloom and John Michael van Reenen

16018: Building Social Capital Through MicroFinance

Benjamin Feigenberg, Erica M. Field and Rohini Pande

16017: Recruiting Effective Math Teachers: How Do Math Immersion Teachers Compare?: Evidence from New York City

Donald Boyd, Pam Grossman, Karen Hammerness, Hamilton Lankford, Susanna Loeb, Mathew Ronfeldt and James Wyckoff

16016: Program Evaluation and Research Designs

John Enrico DiNardo and David S. Lee

16015: Measure for Measure: The relationship between measures of instructional practice in middle school English Language Arts and teachers’ value-added scores

Pam Grossman, Susanna Loeb, Julia Cohen, Karen Hammerness, James Wyckoff, Donald Boyd and Hamilton Lankford

16014: Characterizing Markets for Biopharmaceutical Innovations: Do Biologics Differ from Small Molecules?

Mark Trusheim, Murray L. Aitken and Ernst R. Berndt

16013: The Effect of Education on Adult Health and Mortality: Evidence from Britain

Damon Clark and Heather North Royer

16012: The Impact of Health Care Reform On Hospital and Preventive Care: Evidence from Massachusetts

Jonathan T. Kolstad and Amanda Ellen Kowalski

16011: Medicare Part D and its Effect on the Use of Prescription Drugs, Use of Other Health Care Services and Health of the Elderly

Robert John Kaestner and Nasreen Khan

16010: GDP, Technical Change, and the Measurement of Net Income: the Weitzman Model Revisited

Charles R. Hulten and Paul Schreyer

16009: Taxing Guns vs. Taxing Crime: An Application of the “Market for Offenses Model”

Isaac Ehrlich and Tetsuya Saito

16008: Build America Bonds

Andrew Ang, Vineer Bhansali and Yuhang Xing

16007: Diagnosing Consumer Confusion and Sub-Optimal Shopping Effort: Theory and Mortgage-Market Evidence

Susan E. Woodward and Robert Ernest Hall

16006: The Collapse of International Trade During the 2008-2009 Crisis: In Search of the Smoking Gun

Andrei A. Levchenko, Logan T. Lewis and Linda L. Tesar

16005: The Risk Content of Exports: A Portfolio View of International Trade

Julian di Giovanni and Andrei A. Levchenko

16004: Under Pressure? The Effect of Peers on Outcomes of Young Adults

Sandra E. Black, Paul J. Devereux and Kjell G Salvanes

16003: Econometric Methods for Research in Education

Costas Meghir and Steven G. Rivkin

16002: As Science Evolves, How Can Science Policy?

Benjamin Jones

16001: Deals versus Rules: Policy Implementation Uncertainty and Why Firms Hate It

Mary Hallward-Driemeier, Gita Khun-Jush and Lant Pritchett

16000: A Sexually Unbalanced Model of Current Account Imbalances

Qingyuan Du and Shang-Jin Wei

15999: Credit Default Swaps and the Empty Creditor Problem

Patrick Bolton and Martin Oehmke

15998: The Effect of Housing on Portfolio Choice

Raj Chetty and Adam Szeidl

15997: Financial Development and City Growth: Evidence from Northeastern American Cities, 1790-1870

Howard Bodenhorn and David Cuberes

15996: Skills, Exports, and the Wages of Seven Million Latin American Workers

Irene Brambilla, Rafael Dix Carneiro, Daniel Lederman and Guido Gustavo Porto

15995: Exports, Export Destinations, and Skills

Irene Brambilla, Daniel Lederman and Guido Gustavo Porto

15994: Joblessness and Perceptions about the Effectiveness of Democracy

Duha T Altindag and Naci H. Mocan

15993: Value versus Growth: Time-Varying Expected Stock Returns

Huseyin Gulen, Yuhang Xing and Lu Zhang

15992: Asset Liquidity and the Cost of Capital

Hernán Ortiz-Molina and Gordon M. Phillips

15991: Text-Based Network Industries and Endogenous Product Differentiation

Gerard Hoberg and Gordon M. Phillips

15990: Match Quality, Worker Productivity, and Worker Mobility: Direct Evidence From Teachers

C. Kirabo Jackson

15989: Valuing Incremental Highway Capacity in a Network

Henry Allen Klaiber and V. Kerry Smith

15988: The Macroeconomic Effects of Housing Wealth, Housing Finance, and Limited Risk-Sharing in General Equilibrium

Jack Favilukis, Sydney C. Ludvigson and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh

15987: Risk and the CEO Market: Why Do Some Large Firms Hire Highly-Paid, Low-Talent CEOs?

Alex Edmans and Xavier Gabaix

15986: Optimal Interest-Rate Rules in a Forward-Looking Model, and Inflation Stabilization versus Price-Level Stabilization

Marc P. Giannoni

15985: The Contribution of Trade to Wage Inequality: The Role of Skill, Gender, and Nationality

Michael W. Klein, Christoph Moser and Dieter M. Urban

15984: Fertility and the Personal Exemption: Comment

Richard K. Crump, Gopi Shah Goda and Kevin J. Mumford

15983: Worker replacement

Guido Menzio and Espen R. Moen

15982: Social Welfare Expenditures in the United States and the Nordic Countries: 1900-2003

Price Vanmeter Fishback

15981: Commercial Imperialism? Political Influence and Trade During the Cold War

Daniel Berger, William Easterly, Nathan Nunn and Shanker Satyanath

15980: Targeting the Poor: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Indonesia

Vivi Alatas, Abhijit Banerjee, Rema Hanna, Benjamin A. Olken and Julia Tobias

15979: The Labor Market in the Great Recession

Michael Elsby, Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin

15978: Why Has California’s Residential Electricity Consumption Been So Flat since the 1980s?: A Microeconometric Approach

Dora L. Costa and Matthew Kahn

15977: Personnel Economics: Hiring and Incentives

Paul Oyer and Scott Schaefer

15976: Back on the Rails: Competition and Productivity in State-owned Industry

Sanghamitra Das, Kala Krishna, Sergey Lychagin and Rohini Somanathan

15975: Persuasion and empathy in salesperson-customer interactions

Julio Rotemberg

15974: Global Banks and International Shock Transmission: Evidence from the Crisis

Nicola Cetorelli and Linda S. Goldberg

15973: The Shape of Temptation: Implications for the Economic Lives of the Poor

Abhijit Banerjee and Sendhil Mullainathan

15972: Charity and Favoritism in the Field: Are Female Economists Nicer (to Each Other)?

Jason Abrevaya and Daniel Hamermesh

15971: The Housing Cycle and Prospects for Technical Progress

Casey Mulligan

15970: Interracial Friendships in College

Braz Camargo, Ralph Stinebrickner and Todd R. Stinebrickner

15969: The Impact of Direct-to-Consumer Advertising on Pharmaceutical Prices and Demand

Dhaval M. Dave and Henry Saffer

15968: Did Bankruptcy Reform Cause Mortgage Default to Rise?

Wenli Li, Michelle J. White and Ning Zhu

15967: On the Formation of Coalitions to Provide Public Goods - Experimental Evidence from the Lab

Astrid Dannenberg, Andreas Lange and Bodo Sturm

15966: The Role of Teacher Quality in Retention and Hiring: Using Applications-to-Transfer to Uncover Preferences of Teachers and Schools

Donald Boyd, Hamilton Lankford, Susanna Loeb, Matthew Ronfeldt and James Wyckoff

15965: A Cluster-Grid Projection Method: Solving Problems with High Dimensionality

Kenneth L. Judd, Lilia Maliar and Serguei Maliar

15964: Pop Internationalism: Has A Half Century of World Music Trade Displaced Local Culture?

Fernando V. Ferreira and Joel Waldfogel

15963: Inertia and Overwithholding: Explaining the Prevalence of Income Tax Refunds

Damon Jones

15962: Disability Risk, Disability Insurance and Life Cycle Behavior

Hamish Low and Luigi Pistaferri

15961: The Online Laboratory: Conducting Experiments in a Real Labor Market

John Joseph Horton, David G. Rand and Richard J. Zeckhauser