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NBER Working Papers

From National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc
National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A..
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16075: Measuring Business Cycles by Saving for a Rainy Day Downloads
Mario Crucini and Mototsugu Shintani
16074: DSGE Models for Monetary Policy Analysis Downloads
Lawrence Christiano, Mathias Trabandt and Karl Walentin
16073: Composition of Wealth, Conditioning Information, and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns Downloads
Nikolai Roussanov
16072: Effects of Welfare Reform on Illicit Drug Use of Adult Women Downloads
Hope Corman, Dhaval Dave, Nancy E. Reichman and Dhiman Das
16071: Business Cycles With A Common Trend in Neutral and Investment-Specific Productivity Downloads
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe
16070: School accountability and teacher mobility Downloads
Li Feng, David Figlio and Tim Sass
16069: Evaluating the Effects of Large Scale Health Interventions in Developing Countries: The Zambian Malaria Initiative Downloads
Nava Ashraf, Günther Fink and David Weil
16068: Neglected Risks, Financial Innovation, and Financial Fragility Downloads
Nicola Gennaioli, Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny
16067: Oil, Automobiles, and the U.S. Economy: How Much have Things Really Changed? Downloads
Valerie Ramey and Daniel J. Vine
16066: Recessions, Reeling Markets, and Retiree Well-Being Downloads
Courtney Coile and Phillip Levine
16065: In Search of Real Rigidities Downloads
Gita Gopinath and Oleg Itskhoki
16064: The GED Downloads
James Heckman, John Humphries and Nicholas S. Mader
16063: Risk Aversion and Wealth: Evidence from Person-to-Person Lending Portfolios Downloads
Daniel Paravisini, Veronica Rappoport and Enrichetta Ravina
16062: Field Experiments in Labor Economics Downloads
John List and Imran Rasul
16061: Indian Equity Markets: Measures of Fundamental Value Downloads
Rajnish Mehra
16060: The Collateral Channel: How Real Estate Shocks Affect Corporate Investment Downloads
Thomas Chaney, David Sraer and David Thesmar
16059: The Great Trade Collapse of 2008-09: An Inventory Adjustment? Downloads
George Alessandria, Joseph Kaboski and Virgiliu Midrigan
16058: Aggregate Idiosyncratic Volatility Downloads
Geert Bekaert, Robert Hodrick and Xiaoyan Zhang
16057: Segregation and Tiebout Sorting: Investigating the Link between Investments in Public Goods and Neighborhood Tipping Downloads
Spencer Banzhaf and Randall Walsh
16056: Competitive Effects of Means-Tested School Vouchers Downloads
David Figlio and Cassandra M.D. Hart
16055: Unpacking Neighborhood Influences on Education Outcomes: Setting the Stage for Future Research Downloads
David J. Harding, Lisa Gennetian, Christopher Winship, Lisa Sanbonmatsu and Jeffrey Kling
16054: The Optimal Rate of Inflation Downloads
Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé and Martín Uribe
16053: Distributional Implications of Alternative U.S. Greenhouse Gas Control Measures Downloads
Sebastian Rausch, Gilbert Metcalf, John Reilly and Sergey Paltsev
16052: External Capital Structures and Oil Price Volatility Downloads
John Burger, Alessandro Rebucci, Francis Warnock and Veronica Warnock
16051: Are Increasing 5-Year Survival Rates Evidence of Success Against Cancer? A reexamination using data from the U.S. and Australia Downloads
Frank Lichtenberg
16050: Ambiguity and Climate Policy Downloads
Antony Millner, Simon Dietz and Geoffrey Heal
16049: Contracts between Legal Persons Downloads
Lewis A. Kornhauser and W. Bentley Macleod
16048: Great Expectations: Law, Employment Contracts, and Labor Market Performance Downloads
W. Bentley Macleod
16047: Are Leading Indicators of Financial Crises Useful for Assessing Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Crisis Downloads
Jeffrey Frankel and George Saravelos
16046: Exports, Borders, Distance, and Plant Size Downloads
Thomas Holmes and John Stevens
16045: Decomposition Methods in Economics Downloads
Nicole Fortin, Thomas Lemieux and Sergio Firpo
16044: Does Foreign Exchange Reserve Decumulation Lead to Currency Appreciation? Downloads
Kathryn Dominguez, Rasmus Fatum and Pavel Vacek
16043: Growth Accounting with Misallocation: Or, Doing Less with More in Singapore Downloads
John Fernald and Brent Neiman
16042: Chasing Noise Downloads
Brock Mendel and Andrei Shleifer
16041: CEO Overconfidence and Innovation Downloads
Alberto Galasso and Timothy S. Simcoe
16040: Coordination, Switching Costs and the Division of Labor in General Medicine: An Economic Explanation for the Emergence of Hospitalists in the United States Downloads
David O. Meltzer and Jeanette W. Chung
16039: An Empirical Model for Strategic Network Formation Downloads
Nicholas A. Christakis, James H. Fowler, Guido Imbens and Karthik Kalyanaraman
16038: Investment under Uncertainty: Testing the Options Model with Professional Traders Downloads
John List and Michael S. Haigh
16037: Measuring the Economic Effect of Global Warming on Viticulture Using Auction, Retail, and Wholesale Prices Downloads
Orley Ashenfelter and Karl Storchmann
16036: How Can Behavioral Economics Inform Non-Market Valuation? An Example from the Preference Reversal Literature Downloads
Jonathan Alevy, John List and Wiktor Adamowicz
16035: Rare Disasters and Risk Sharing with Heterogeneous Beliefs Downloads
Hui Chen, Scott Joslin and Ngoc-Khanh Tran
16034: Does Trade Cause Capital to Flow? Evidence from Historical Rainfalls Downloads
Sebnem Kalemli-Ozcan and Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy
16033: Evidence on the Determinants of the Choice between Wage Posting and Wage Bargaining Downloads
Robert Hall and Alan Krueger
16032: The Impact of Competition on Management Quality: Evidence from Public Hospitals Downloads
Nicholas Bloom, Carol Propper, Stephan Seiler and John van Reenen
16031: Self-Fulfilling Credit Market Freezes Downloads
Lucian Bebchuk and Itay Goldstein
16030: Where Are The Health Care Entrepreneurs? The Failure of Organizational Innovation in Health Care Downloads
David Cutler
16029: All Banks Great, Small, and Global: Loan pricing and foreign competition Downloads
Beatriz de Blas and Katheryn Russ
16028: Matching with Couples: Stability and Incentives in Large Markets Downloads
Fuhito Kojima, Parag Pathak and Alvin Roth
16027: Global shocks, economic growth and financial crises: 120 years of New Zealand experience Downloads
Michael Bordo, David Hargreaves and Mizuho Kida
16026: Genetic Interactions with Prenatal Social Environment: Effects on Academic and Behavioral Outcomes Downloads
Dalton Conley and Emily Rauscher
16025: How Much is Social Capital Worth? Downloads
John Helliwell and Christopher Barrington-Leigh
16024: Understanding Creativity Downloads
David Galenson
16023: The Cost of Debt Downloads
Jules van Binsbergen, John Graham and Jie Yang
16022: Rationalizing Trading Frequency and Returns Downloads
Yosef Bonaparte and Russell Cooper
16021: Economic Opportunities and Gender Differences in Human Capital: Experimental Evidence for India Downloads
Robert T. Jensen
16020: Financial Innovation, the Discovery of Risk, and the U.S. Credit Crisis Downloads
Emine Boz and Enrique Mendoza
16019: Human Resource Management and Productivity Downloads
Nicholas Bloom and John van Reenen
16018: Building Social Capital Through MicroFinance Downloads
Benjamin Feigenberg, Erica M. Field and Rohini Pande
16017: Recruiting Effective Math Teachers: How Do Math Immersion Teachers Compare?: Evidence from New York City Downloads
Donald Boyd, Pam Grossman, Karen Hammerness, Hamilton Lankford, Susanna Loeb, Mathew Ronfeldt and James Wyckoff
16016: Program Evaluation and Research Designs Downloads
John DiNardo and David S. Lee
16015: Measure for Measure: The relationship between measures of instructional practice in middle school English Language Arts and teachers' value-added scores Downloads
Pam Grossman, Susanna Loeb, Julia Cohen, Karen Hammerness, James Wyckoff, Donald Boyd and Hamilton Lankford
16014: Characterizing Markets for Biopharmaceutical Innovations: Do Biologics Differ from Small Molecules? Downloads
Mark Trusheim, Murray L. Aitken and Ernst R. Berndt
16013: The Effect of Education on Adult Health and Mortality: Evidence from Britain Downloads
Damon Clark and Heather Royer
16012: The Impact of Health Care Reform On Hospital and Preventive Care: Evidence from Massachusetts Downloads
Jonathan T. Kolstad and Amanda Kowalski
16011: Medicare Part D and its Effect on the Use of Prescription Drugs, Use of Other Health Care Services and Health of the Elderly Downloads
Robert Kaestner and Nasreen Khan
16010: GDP, Technical Change, and the Measurement of Net Income: the Weitzman Model Revisited Downloads
Charles R. Hulten and Paul Schreyer
16009: Taxing Guns vs. Taxing Crime: An Application of the "Market for Offenses Model" Downloads
Isaac Ehrlich and Tetsuya Saito
16008: Build America Bonds Downloads
Andrew Ang, Vineer Bhansali and Yuhang Xing
16007: Diagnosing Consumer Confusion and Sub-Optimal Shopping Effort: Theory and Mortgage-Market Evidence Downloads
Susan E. Woodward and Robert Hall
16006: The Collapse of International Trade During the 2008-2009 Crisis: In Search of the Smoking Gun Downloads
Andrei Levchenko, Logan Lewis and Linda Tesar
16005: The Risk Content of Exports: A Portfolio View of International Trade Downloads
Julian di Giovanni and Andrei Levchenko
16004: Under Pressure? The Effect of Peers on Outcomes of Young Adults Downloads
Sandra Black, Paul Devereux and Kjell G Salvanes
16003: Econometric Methods for Research in Education Downloads
Costas Meghir and Steven Rivkin
16002: As Science Evolves, How Can Science Policy? Downloads
Benjamin Jones
16001: Deals versus Rules: Policy Implementation Uncertainty and Why Firms Hate It Downloads
Mary Hallward-Driemeier, Gita Khun-Jush and Lant Pritchett
16000: A Sexually Unbalanced Model of Current Account Imbalances Downloads
Qingyuan Du and Shang-Jin Wei
15999: Credit Default Swaps and the Empty Creditor Problem Downloads
Patrick Bolton and Martin Oehmke
15998: The Effect of Housing on Portfolio Choice Downloads
Raj Chetty and Adam Szeidl
15997: Financial Development and City Growth: Evidence from Northeastern American Cities, 1790-1870 Downloads
Howard Bodenhorn and David Cuberes
15996: Skills, Exports, and the Wages of Seven Million Latin American Workers Downloads
Irene Brambilla, Rafael Dix Carneiro, Daniel Lederman and Guido Porto
15995: Exports, Export Destinations, and Skills Downloads
Irene Brambilla, Daniel Lederman and Guido Porto
15994: Joblessness and Perceptions about the Effectiveness of Democracy Downloads
Duha Altindag and Naci Mocan
15993: Value versus Growth: Time-Varying Expected Stock Returns Downloads
Huseyin Gulen, Yuhang Xing and Lu Zhang
15992: Asset Liquidity and the Cost of Capital Downloads
Hernán Ortiz-Molina and Gordon Phillips
15991: Text-Based Network Industries and Endogenous Product Differentiation Downloads
Gerard Hoberg and Gordon Phillips
15990: Match Quality, Worker Productivity, and Worker Mobility: Direct Evidence From Teachers Downloads
C. Kirabo Jackson
15989: Valuing Incremental Highway Capacity in a Network Downloads
Henry Klaiber and V. Smith
15988: The Macroeconomic Effects of Housing Wealth, Housing Finance, and Limited Risk-Sharing in General Equilibrium Downloads
Jack Favilukis, Sydney Ludvigson and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
15987: Risk and the CEO Market: Why Do Some Large Firms Hire Highly-Paid, Low-Talent CEOs? Downloads
Alex Edmans and Xavier Gabaix
15986: Optimal Interest-Rate Rules in a Forward-Looking Model, and Inflation Stabilization versus Price-Level Stabilization Downloads
Marc Giannoni
15985: The Contribution of Trade to Wage Inequality: The Role of Skill, Gender, and Nationality Downloads
Michael Klein, Christoph Moser and Dieter Urban
15984: Fertility and the Personal Exemption: Comment Downloads
Richard Crump, Gopi Goda and Kevin Mumford
15983: Worker replacement Downloads
Guido Menzio and Espen Moen
15982: Social Welfare Expenditures in the United States and the Nordic Countries: 1900-2003 Downloads
Price Fishback
15981: Commercial Imperialism? Political Influence and Trade During the Cold War Downloads
Daniel Berger, William Easterly, Nathan Nunn and Shanker Satyanath
15980: Targeting the Poor: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Indonesia Downloads
Vivi Alatas, Abhijit Banerjee, Rema Hanna, Benjamin Olken and Julia Tobias
15979: The Labor Market in the Great Recession Downloads
Michael Elsby, Bart Hobijn and Aysegul Sahin
15978: Why Has California's Residential Electricity Consumption Been So Flat since the 1980s?: A Microeconometric Approach Downloads
Dora Costa and Matthew Kahn
15977: Personnel Economics: Hiring and Incentives Downloads
Paul Oyer and Scott Schaefer
15976: Back on the Rails: Competition and Productivity in State-owned Industry Downloads
Sanghamitra Das, Kala Krishna, Sergey Lychagin and Rohini Somanathan
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