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NBER Working Papers

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15736: Sources of Variation in Holding Returns for Fed Funds Futures Contracts Downloads
James Hamilton and Tatsuyoshi Okimoto
15735: Vintage Capital and Creditor Protection Downloads
Efraim Benmelech and Nittai K. Bergman
15734: On the Relative Pricing of long Maturity S&P 500 Index Options and CDX Tranches Downloads
Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Robert S. Goldstein and Fan Yang
15733: Is Credit Event Risk Priced? Modeling Contagion via the Updating of Beliefs Downloads
Pierre Collin-Dufresne, Robert S. Goldstein and Jean Helwege
15732: University-Industry Spillovers, Government Funding, and Industrial Consulting Downloads
Richard Jensen, Jerry Thursby and Marie Thursby
15731: Exits from Recessions: The U.S. Experience 1920-2007 Downloads
Michael Bordo and John Landon-Lane
15730: Securitization without risk transfer Downloads
Viral Acharya, Philipp Schnabl and Gustavo Suarez
15729: Modeling College Major Choices using Elicited Measures of Expectations and Counterfactuals Downloads
Peter Arcidiacono, V. Joseph Hotz and Songman Kang
15728: Beyond the Classroom: Using Title IX to Measure the Return to High School Sports Downloads
Betsey Stevenson
15727: Liquidity, Institutional Quality and the Composition of International Equity Flows Downloads
Itay Goldstein, Assaf Razin and Hui Tong
15726: Great Inflation and Central Bank Independence in Japan Downloads
Takatoshi Ito
15725: Women's Education and Family Behavior: Trends in Marriage, Divorce and Fertility Downloads
Adam Isen and Betsey Stevenson
15724: A Theory-Based Approach to Hedonic Price Regressions with Time-Varying Unobserved Product Attributes: The Price of Pollution Downloads
Patrick Bajari, Jane Cooley, Kyoo il Kim and Christopher Timmins
15723: Generic Utilization Rates, Real Pharmaceutical Prices, and Research and Development Expenditures Downloads
Philip J Cook, Graeme Hunter and John A. Vernon
15722: The Effects of an Incentive-Based High-School Intervention on College Outcomes Downloads
C. Kirabo Jackson
15721: Further Comments on The Impact of the Asian Miracle on the Theory of Economic Growth Downloads
Robert Fogel
15720: The Effects of Relative Food Prices on Obesity -- Evidence from China: 1991-2006 Downloads
Yang Lu and Dana Goldman
15719: Consumption Risk-sharing in Social Networks Downloads
Attila Ambrus, Markus Mobius and Adam Szeidl
15718: Risk and Global Economic Architecture: Why Full Financial Integration May Be Undesirable Downloads
Joseph Stiglitz
15717: Temperature and the Allocation of Time: Implications for Climate Change Downloads
Joshua Graff Zivin and Matthew J. Neidell
15716: Sensitivity to Missing Data Assumptions: Theory and An Evaluation of the U.S. Wage Structure Downloads
Patrick Kline and Andres Santos
15715: Do Principals Fire the Worst Teachers? Downloads
Brian A. Jacob
15714: Simple Analytics of the Government Expenditure Multiplier Downloads
Michael Woodford
15713: Spatial Competition and Cross-border Shopping: Evidence from State Lotteries Downloads
Brian Knight and Nathan Schiff
15712: What Determines Productivity? Downloads
Chad Syverson
15711: Climate Shocks and Exports Downloads
Benjamin F. Jones and Benjamin Olken
15710: Does the Structure of Banking Markets Affect Economic Growth? Evidence from U.S. State Banking Markets Downloads
Kris James Mitchener and David Wheelock
15709: Limited Capital Market Participation and Human Capital Risk Downloads
Jonathan Berk and Johan Walden
15708: Bankruptcy and the Collateral Channel Downloads
Efraim Benmelech and Nittai K. Bergman
15707: Can Mentoring Help Female Assistant Professors? Interim Results from a Randomized Trial Downloads
Francine Blau, Janet Currie, Rachel Croson and Donna K. Ginther
15706: The Role of Intermediaries in Facilitating Trade Downloads
JaeBin Ahn, Amit Khandelwal and Shang-Jin Wei
15705: The Political Resource Curse Downloads
Fernanda Brollo, Tommaso Nannicini, Roberto Perotti and Guido Tabellini
15704: Manumission in Nineteenth Century Virginia Downloads
Howard Bodenhorn
15703: Inaccurate age and sex data in the Census PUMS files: Evidence and Implications Downloads
J. Trent Alexander, Michael Davern and Betsey Stevenson
15702: Interest Rate Risk and Other Determinants of Post-WWII U.S. Government Debt/GDP Dynamics Downloads
George Hall and Thomas Sargent
15701: So you want to run an experiment, now what? Some Simple Rules of Thumb for Optimal Experimental Design Downloads
John List, Sally Sadoff and Mathis Wagner
15700: Envy, Altruism, and the International Distribution of Trade Protection Downloads
Xiaobo Lü, Kenneth F. Scheve and Matthew J. Slaughter
15699: The Elasticity of Demand With Respect to Product Failures; or Why the Market for Quack Medicines Flourished for More Than 150 Years Downloads
Werner Troesken
15698: Detecting Crowded Trades in Currency Funds Downloads
Momtchil Pojarliev and Richard M. Levich
15697: Property Rights and Parliament in Industrializing Britain Downloads
Dan Bogart and Gary Richardson
15696: A Patchwork Safety Net: A Survey of Cliometric Studies of Income Maintenance Programs in the United States in the First Half of the Twentieth Century Downloads
Price Fishback, Samuel Allen, Jonathan Fox and Brendan Livingston
15695: Pay-to-Bid Auctions Downloads
Brennan Platt, Joseph Price and Henry Tappen
15694: Political Limits to Globalization Downloads
Daron Acemoglu and Pierre Yared
15693: Institutions, Factor Prices and Taxation: Virtues of Strong States? Downloads
Daron Acemoglu
15692: Modeling the Impact of Warming in Climate Change Economics Downloads
Robert Pindyck
15691: Does Prescription Drug Adherence Reduce Hospitalizations and Costs? Downloads
William Encinosa, Didem Bernard and Avi Dor
15690: Is the Spurious Regression Problem Spurious? Downloads
Bennett McCallum
15689: Asymmetric Information and the Demand for Voluntary Health Insurance in Europe Downloads
Kristian Bolin, Daniel Hedblom, Anna Lindgren and Bjorn Lindgren
15688: The Cross-Section and Time-Series of Stock and Bond Returns Downloads
Ralph Koijen, Hanno Lustig and Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
15687: Let them Have Choice: Gains from Shifting Away from Employer-Sponsored Health Insurance and Toward an Individual Exchange Downloads
Leemore Dafny, Kate Ho and Mauricio Varela
15686: How general are risk preferences? Choices under uncertainty in different domains Downloads
Liran Einav, Amy Finkelstein, Iuliana Pascu and Mark R. Cullen
15685: U.S. Growth in the Decade Ahead Downloads
Martin Feldstein
15684: Europe's Tired, Poor, Huddled Masses: Self-Selection and Economic Outcomes in the Age of Mass Migration Downloads
Ran Abramitzky, Leah Boustan and Katherine Eriksson
15683: Educational Expectations and Attainment Downloads
Brian A. Jacob and Tamara Wilder
15682: The Effect of Uncertain Labor Income and Social Security on Life-cycle Portfolios Downloads
Raimond Maurer, Olivia Mitchell and Ralph Rogalla
15681: Aggregate Implications of Labor Market Distortions: The Recession of 2008-9 and Beyond Downloads
Casey Mulligan
15680: Latin American Growth-Inequality Trade-Offs: The Impact of Insurgence and Independence Downloads
Jeffrey Williamson
15679: Globalization, Trade & Wages: What Does History tell us about China? Downloads
Kris James Mitchener and Se Yan
15678: Explaining the Rise in Educational Gradients in Mortality Downloads
David Cutler, Fabian Lange, Ellen Meara, Seth Richards-Shubik and Christopher Ruhm
15677: From Shame to Game in One Hundred Years: An Economic Model of the Rise in Premarital Sex and its De-Stigmatization Downloads
Jesus Fernandez-Villaverde, Jeremy Greenwood and Nezih Guner
15676: Implications for Energy Innovation from the chemical industry Downloads
Ashish Arora and Alfonso Gambardella
15675: Euler-Equation Estimation for Discrete Choice Models: A Capital Accumulation Application Downloads
Russell Cooper, John Haltiwanger and Jonathan Willis
15674: Rollover Risk and Market Freezes Downloads
Viral Acharya, Douglas Gale and Tanju Yorulmazer
15673: Innovation and Climate Policy Downloads
David Popp
15672: Rational Ignorance in Education: A Field Experiment in Student Plagiarism Downloads
Thomas Dee and Brian A. Jacob
15671: Peer Migration in China Downloads
Yuyu Chen, Ginger Zhe Jin and Yang Yue
15670: Searching for Irving Fisher Downloads
Kris James Mitchener and Marc Weidenmier
15669: Did Frederick Brodie Discover the World's First Environmental Kuznets Curve? Coal Smoke and the Rise and Fall of the London Fog Downloads
Karen Clay and Werner Troesken
15668: Private Information, Human Capital, and Optimal "Home Bias" in Financial Markets Downloads
Isaac Ehrlich, Jong Shin and Yong Yin
15667: Oil and Democracy in Russia Downloads
Daniel Treisman
15666: Heterogeneous Harm vs. Spatial Spillovers: Environmental Federalism and US Air Pollution Downloads
Spencer Banzhaf and Benjamin Chupp
15665: Research in Accounting for Income Taxes Downloads
John Graham, Jana Raedy and Douglas Shackelford
15664: Estimating the Technology of Cognitive and Noncognitive Skill Formation Downloads
Flavio Cunha, James Heckman and Susanne Schennach
15663: Who Owns Children and Does it Matter? Downloads
Alice Schoonbroodt and Michele Tertilt
15662: Interpreting the Unconventional U.S. Monetary Policy of 2007-09 Downloads
Ricardo Reis
15661: Innovators: Architects Downloads
David Galenson
15660: Wholesalers and Retailers in U.S. Trade (Long Version) Downloads
Andrew Bernard, J. Jensen, Stephen Redding and Peter Schott
15659: Overconfidence and Early-life Experiences: The Impact of Managerial Traits on Corporate Financial Policies Downloads
Ulrike Malmendier, Geoffrey Tate and Jonathan Yan
15658: Intended and Unintended Effects of Youth Bicycle Helmet Laws Downloads
Christopher S. Carpenter and Mark Stehr
15657: Real-Time Macroeconomic Monitoring: Real Activity, Inflation, and Interactions Downloads
S. Boragan Aruoba and Francis Diebold
15656: Targeted Savings and Labor Supply Downloads
Louis Kaplow
15655: The Effect of Employment Protection on Worker Effort: Evidence from Public Schooling Downloads
Brian A. Jacob
15654: Can we infer social preferences from the lab? Evidence from the trust game Downloads
Nicole M. Baran, Paola Sapienza and Luigi Zingales
15653: Rollover Risk and Credit Risk Downloads
Zhiguo He and Wei Xiong
15652: Asset Fire Sales and Credit Easing Downloads
Andrei Shleifer and Robert Vishny
15651: Efficient Regulation Downloads
Andrei Shleifer
15650: Securitization in the 1920's Downloads
William Goetzmann and Frank Newman
15649: Terminal Care and The Value of Life Near Its End Downloads
Tomas Philipson, Gary Becker, Dana Goldman and Kevin Murphy
15648: Calorie Posting in Chain Restaurants Downloads
Bryan Bollinger, Phillip Leslie and Alan Sorensen
15647: Finance and Misallocation: Evidence from Plant-level Data Downloads
Virgiliu Midrigan and Yi Xu
15646: On the Size of the Active Management Industry Downloads
Lubos Pastor and Robert Stambaugh
15645: The Great Recession and the Great Depression Downloads
Peter Temin
15644: Quality Disclosure and Certification: Theory and Practice Downloads
David Dranove and Ginger Zhe Jin
15643: Elected Versus Appointed Policymakers: Evidence from City Treasurers Downloads
Alexander Whalley
15642: Virtual Borders: Online Nominal Rigidities and International Market Segmentation Downloads
Jean Boivin, Robert Clark and Nicolas Vincent
15641: Identification in Differentiated Products Markets Using Market Level Data Downloads
Steven Berry and Philip Haile
15640: The Long Reach of Childhood Health and Circumstance: Evidence from the Whitehall II Study Downloads
Anne Case and Christina Paxson
15639: Growth in a Time of Debt Downloads
Carmen Reinhart and Kenneth Rogoff
15638: Employee Spinoffs and Other Entrants: Stylized Facts from Brazil Downloads
Oana Hirakawa, Marc-Andreas Muendler and James Rauch
15637: Causes and Consequences of Early Life Health Downloads
Anne Case and Christina Paxson
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