Has Portugal gone wireless? Looking back, Looking ahead

Anabela Botelho () and Ligia Costa Pinto ()
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Ligia Costa Pinto: NIMA, Universidade do Minho

No 5, Working Papers from Núcleo de Investigação em Microeconomia Aplicada (NIMA), Universidade do Minho

Abstract: This paper analyses the pattern and rate of adoption of mobile telephones by the Portuguese population. It is shown that the pattern of diffusion is S-shaped and is consistent with a logistic function, which describes a symmetrical growth process. Furthermore, it is found that 67 percent of the population will likely adopt mobile phones, and that the levelling-off process in the diffusion of mobile phones has already begun. The analysis is intended to inform the larger discussion of managing the communications service, as well as to assist analysts concerned about assessing the impact of public policies in the evolution of communications sectors.

Keywords: technology diffusion; mobile telecommunications (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C53 L96 O30 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec
Date: 2000-12
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