The evolution of the Forecasting and Policy System (FPS) at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Felix Delbrück,
Ashley Dunstan,
David Hargreaves,
Ashley Lienert,
Hamish Pepper and
Cath Sleeman Additional contact information Cath Sleeman: Reserve Bank of New Zealand
Abstract:
The Forecasting and Policy System model (FPS) has been a very useful tool for forecasting and communication at the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. In part, its success has been due to pragmatic use, and the evolution of the model to reflect changing views of the New Zealand economy. However, as economic theory and modelling technology have developed, it is likely that the next core model for producing projections at the Reserve Bank will be a DSGE model. This note looks forward to that possibility with two aims in mind. First, the paper discusses how FPS has been used at the Reserve Bank over the last 11 years. Second, we describe how the structure of FPS has changed over time. Classification-E10, E17, E52
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