A preliminary investigation of northern Ireland's housing market dynamics

Derek Bond (), Emer Marie Gallagher () and Elaine Ramsey

MPRA Paper from University Library of Munich, Germany

Abstract: In this paper recent developments in dynamic econometric methodology are used to explore the possibility of asset bubbles in the Northern Ireland housing market. This market is interesting as its house price trajectory is quite unlike any neighbouring market. In recent years it seems to have been influenced both by the general UK market and the Republic of Ireland's housing market. The dynamics of the market are explored through univariate analysis, using sequential unit root tests and fractional integration. The findings provide an indication of the principle developments in the market and could provide the basis for further causal analysis.

Keywords: House prices; Northern Ireland; Asset Bubbles; Sequential Unit Root tests; fractional integration; fundamental value (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G1 C5 C22 E3 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ure
Date: 2012-07-03
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