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Working Papers

From Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department
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2016: The unsecured interbank money market: A description of the Portuguese case Downloads
Sofia Saldanha
2016: A tale of two sectors: why is misallocation higher in services than in manufacturing? Downloads
Daniel Dias, Carlos Marques and Christine Richmond
2016: Forecasting banking crises with dynamic panel probit models Downloads
António R. Antunes, Diana Bonfim, Nuno Monteiro and Paulo Rodrigues
2016: A wavelet-based multivariate multiscale approach for forecasting Downloads
António Rua
2016: Temporary contracts' transitions: the role of training and institutions Downloads
Sara Serra
2016: EAGLE-FLI - A macroeconomic model of banking and financial interdependence in the euro area Downloads
N. Bokan, Andrea Gerali, Sandra Gomes, P. Jacquinot and Massimiliano Pisani
2016: Market integration and the persistence of electricity prices Downloads
João Pedro Pereira, Vasco Pesquita, Paulo Rodrigues and António Rua
2016: The Effect of Quantitative Easing on Lending Conditions Downloads
Laura Blattner, Luisa Farinha and Gil Nogueira
2016: Sorry, We're Closed: Loan Conditions When Bank Branches Close and Firms Transfer to Another Bank Downloads
Diana Bonfim, Gil Nogueira and Steven Ongena
2016: Understanding the public sector pay gap Downloads
Maria Campos, Domenico Depalo, Evangelia Papapetrou, Javier Pérez and Roberto Ramos
2016: Residual-augmented IVX predictive regression Downloads
Paulo Rodrigues and Matei Demetrescu
2016: Productivity and Organization in Portuguese Firms Downloads
Lorenzo Caliendo, Giordano Mion, Luca David Opromolla and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg
2016: Output and unemployment, Portugal, 2008–2012 Downloads
José Maria
2016: Monetary Developments and Expansionary Fiscal Consolidations: Evidence from the EMU Downloads
Antonio Afonso and Luís Martins
2016: A Mixed Frequency Approach to Forecast Private Consumption with ATM/POS Data Downloads
Cláudia Duarte, Paulo Rodrigues and António Rua
2016: Public debt sustainability: Methodologies and debates in European institutions Downloads
João Amador, Cláudia Braz, Maria Campos, Sharmin Sazedj and Lara Wemans
2015: House prices: bubbles, exuberance or something else? Evidence from euro area countries Downloads
Rita Lourenço and Paulo Rodrigues
2015: Networks of value added trade Downloads
João Amador and Sonia Cabral
2015: The Effect of Bank Shocks on Firm-Level and Aggregate Investment Downloads
João Amador and Arne Nagengast
2015: A New Regression-Based Tail Index Estimator: An Application to Exchange Rates Downloads
João Nicolau and Paulo Rodrigues
2015: Assessing European Firms’ Exports and Productivity Distributions: The CompNet Trade Module Downloads
Antoine Berthou, Emmanuel Dhyne, Matteo Bugamelli, Ana-Maria Cazacu, Calin-Vlad Demian, Péter Harasztosi, Tibor Lalinsky, Jaanika Meriküll, Filippo Oropallo and Ana Cristina Soares
2015: Sources of the Union Wage Gap: Results from High-Dimensional Fixed Effects Regression Models Downloads
John Addison, Pedro Portugal and Hugo Vilares
2015: Decomposing the wage losses of displaced workers: the role of the reallocation of workers into firms and job titles Downloads
Pedro Portugal, Pedro S. Raposo and Anabela Carneiro
2015: Income smoothing mechanisms after labor market transitions Downloads
Nuno Alves and Carlos Martins
2015: Central Bank Interventions, Demand for Collateral, and Sovereign Borrowing Costs Downloads
Luís Fonseca, Matteo Crosignani and Miguel Faria-e-Castro
2015: Financial Fragmentation Shocks Downloads
Paulo Júlio, Ricardo Félix, Gabriela Castro and José Maria
2015: Covariate-augmented unit root tests with mixed-frequency data Downloads
Cláudia Duarte
2015: Unions and Collective Bargaining in the Wake of the Great Recession Downloads
John Addison, Pedro Portugal and Hugo Vilares
2015: Seriously Strengthening the Tax-Benefit Link Downloads
Pedro Portugal and Pedro S. Raposo
2015: Expectation-Driven Cycles: Time-varying Effects Downloads
A. D’Agostino and Caterina Mendicino
2015: Capital Regulation in a Macroeconomic Model with Three Layers of Default Downloads
Laurent Clerc, Alexis Derviz, Caterina Mendicino, Stéphane Moyen, Kalin Nikolov, Livio Stracca, Javier Suarez and Alexandro Vardulakis
2015: Macroeconomic Forecasting Starting from Survey Nowcasts Downloads
João Valle e Azevedo and Inês Gonçalves
2015: Unpleasant debt dynamics: Can fiscal consolidations raise debt ratios? Downloads
Gabriela Castro, Ricardo Félix, Paulo Júlio and José Maria
2015: Quarterly Series for the Portuguese Economy: 1977-2014 Downloads
Fátima Cardoso and Ana Sequeira
2014: Real-time nowcasting the US output gap: Singular spectrum analysis at work Downloads
Miguel de Carvalho and António Rua
2014: Exports and Domestic Demand Pressure: a Dynamic Panel Data Model for the Euro Area Countries Downloads
Elena Bobeica, Paulo Esteves, António Rua and Karsten Staehr
2014: Fiscal devaluation in the euro area: a model-based analysis Downloads
Sandra Gomes, Pascal Jacquinot and Massimiliano Pisani
2014: A Dynamic Quantitative Macroeconomic Model of Bank Runs Downloads
Elena Mattana and Ettore Panetti
2014: Global Value Chains: A View From the Euro Area Downloads
João Amador, Rita Cappariello and Robert Stehrer
2014: Misallocation and productivity in the lead up to the Eurozone crisis Downloads
Daniel Dias, Carlos Marques and Christine Richmond
2014: Capital inflows and euro area long-term interest rates Downloads
Daniel Carvalho and Michael Fidora
2014: Labour Demand Research: Towards a Better Match between Better Theory and Better Data Downloads
John Addison, Pedro Portugal and Jose Varejao
2014: Euro area structural reforms in times of a global crisis Downloads
Sandra Gomes
2014: Financial Integration and the Great Leveraging Downloads
Daniel Carvalho
2014: Persistence in the Banking Industry: Fractional integration and breaks in memory Downloads
Uwe Hassler, Antonio Rubia and Paulo Rodrigues
2014: The Weather Effect: estimating the effect of voter turnout on electoral outcomes in Italy Downloads
Alessandro Sforza
2014: Has US Household Deleveraging Ended? A Model-Based Estimate of Equilibrium Debt Downloads
Bruno Albuquerque, Ursel Baumann and Georgi Krustev
2014: Global Value Chains: Surveying Drivers, Measures and Impacts Downloads
João Amador and Sonia Cabral
2014: The risk-taking channel of monetary policy – exploring all avenues Downloads
Diana Bonfim and Carla Soares
2014: Autoregressive augmentation of MIDAS regressions Downloads
Cláudia Duarte
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