Abstract:
Emerging market economies typically experience procyclical public expenditures and private consumption, countercyclical default risk, interest rate spreads, current account and inflation tax rates as well as and higher volatility in consumption than in output. We develop a quantitative stochastic dynamic equilibrium model of a small open economy with endogenous fiscal policy and endogenous default risk and country interest rate spreads that rationalizes these empirical findings. In a quantitative analysis, the calibrated model can account for an important fraction of the magnitude of the comovement of these macroeconomic variables that is observed in data
More papers in 2006 Meeting Papers from Society for Economic Dynamics Address: Society for Economic Dynamics Anne Stubing CV Starr Center for Applied Economics 269 Mercer Street, Room 303 New York University New York, NY 10003 Contact information at EDIRC. Series data maintained by Christian Zimmermann ().
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