Working Papers

from Economic Research Southern Africa
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145: Managing Disinflation under Uncertainty

Mewael F. Tesfaselassie and Eric Schaling

144: Foreign Direct Investment in Zimbabwe: The Role of Institutional Factors

Farayi Gwenhamo

143: Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables Using Large Datasets: Dynamic Factor Model versus Large-Scale BVARs

Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi

142: Dynamic Health Care Decisions and Child Health in South Africa

Olufunke Alaba and Steven Fredric Koch

141: Is Water Shedding Next?

James Blignaut and Jan Horn Van Heerden

140: Modelling South African Currency Crises as Structural Changes in the Volatility of the Rand

Andrew Stuart Duncan and Guangling D Liu

139: The impact of an electricity generation tax on the South African economy

Reyno Seymore, Philip David Adams, Margaret Mabugu, Jan Horn Van Heerden and James Blignaut

138: Economic Growth in South Africa since the late nineteenth century

Johannes Wolfgang Fedderke and Charles Simkins

137: A Large Factor Model for Forecasting Macroeconomic Variables in South Africa

Rangan Gupta and Alain Kabundi

136: Regulation and Banking Stability: A Survey of Empirical Studies

Fulbert TCHANA TCHANA

135: Enhancing consumers' voluntary use of small-scale wind turbines to generate own electricity in South Africa

Brendan Whelan and Edwin Muchapondwa

134: The dynamics of inequality in a newly settled, preindustrial society: The case of the Cape Colony

Johan Fourie and Dieter von Fintel

133: Household responses to adverse income shocks: Pensioner out-migration and mortality in South Africa

Vimal Ranchhod

132: A comparative analysis of the synchronisation of business cycles for developed and developing economies with the world business cycle

Ilse Botha

131: The Sensitivity of South African Inflation Expectations to Surprises

Monique Brigitte Reid

130: Ostracism and Common Pool Resource Management in a Developing Country: Young Fishers in the Laboratory

Wisdom Akpalu and Peter Martin

129: Modelling the Impact of Automatic Fiscal Stabilisers on Output Stabilisation in South Africa

Kibambe Jacques Ngoie and Nicolaas J. Schoeman

128: The Empirics of Banking Regulation

Fulbert TCHANA TCHANA

127: Isolating a Measure of Inflation Expectations for the South African Financial Market Using Forward Interest Rates

Monique Brigitte Reid

126: Agricultural Risk Management through Community-Based Wildlife Conservation in Rural Zimbabwe

Edwin Muchapondwa and Thomas Nils Samuel Sterner

125: Monetary Policy and Long-Term Interest Rates in South Africa

Lumengo Bonga-Bonga

124: Trends in the gender wage gap and gender discrimination among part-time and full-time workers in post-apartheid South Africa

Colette Muller

123: A Dynamic Model of Mesh Size Regulatory Compliance in Fisheries

Wisdom Akpalu

122: Forward Exchange Rate Puzzle: Joining the Missing Pieces in the Rand-US Dollar Exchange Market

Lumengo Bonga-Bonga

121: The Welfare Cost of Banking Regulation

Fulbert TCHANA TCHANA

120: Using Economic Incentives to encourage Conservation in Bioregions in South Africa

Edwin Muchapondwa, Harry Biggs, Amanda Driver, Frank Matose, Kevin Moore, Eric Mungatana and Kelly Scheepers

119: Growth, Employment and Unemployment in South Africa

Duncan Hodge

118: Factors Influencing Foreign Direct Investment of South African Financial Services Firms in Sub-Saharan Africa

John Manuel Luiz and Harry Charalambouse

117: The Economic Rationale for Agricultural Regeneration and Rural Infrastructure Investment in South Africa

N G Meyer, Marthinus Christoffel Breitenbach, T I Fenyes and A Jooste

116: Local Municipalities and Progress with the Delivery of Basic Services in South Africa

Waldo Krugell, Hannelie Otto and Jacky van der Merwe

115: How persistent is South Africa's inflation

Logan Rangasamy

114: Wage Subsidy and Labour Market Flexibility in South Africa Delfin S. Go, Marna Kearney, Vijdan Korman, Sherman Robinson and Karen Thierfelder

Delfin Go, Marna Kearney, Vijdan Korman, Sherman Robinson and Karen Thierfelder

113: Unions and the Gender Wage Gap in South Africa

Daniela Casale and Dorrit Posel

112: Measuring Institutions: The Zimbabwe Case

Farayi Gwenhamo, Johannes Wolfgang Fedderke and Raphael de Kadt

111: South African Manufacturing Industry Structure and its Implications for Competition Policy

Johannes Wolfgang Fedderke and Witness Simbanegavi

110: Who would eat more with a Food Voucher Programme in South Africa?

Jan Horn Van Heerden

109: Does Survivorship Bias really matter? An Empirical Investigation into its Effects on the Mean Reversion of Share Returns on the JSE Securities Exchange (1984-2006)

Evan Gilbert and Dave Strugnell

108: Application of a Multi-Criteria Integrated Portfolio Model for Quantifying South Africa’s Crude Oil Import Risk

Hammed Amusa, Njeri Wabiri and Krish Chetty

107: Modelling International Tourism Demand for Zimbabwe

Edwin Muchapondwa and Obert Pimhidzai

106: Characterizing Conflict Forms

Johannes Wolfgang Fedderke and Chandana Kularatne

105: Loss leader or low margin leader? Advertising and the degree of product differentiation

Witness Simbanegavi

104: On attitude polarization under Bayesian learning with non-additive beliefs

Alexander Zimper and Alexander Ludwig

103: Adaptive Bayesian Analysis for Binomial Proportions

Sonali Das and Sourish Das

102: Asymmetry and Discrimination in Internet Peering Evidence from the LINX

D'Ignazio, Alessio and Emanuele Giovannetti

101: Macroeconomic Performance and Inequality: Brazil 1983-1994

Manoel Bittencourt

100: Will availing credit incentives to Zimbabwean farmers trigger a maize output response?

Sophia Musuna and Edwin Muchapondwa

99: Costly Tax Enforcement and Financial Repression

Rangan Gupta and Emmanuel Ziramba

98: Modeling the Rand-Dollar Future Spot Rates: The Kalman Filter Approach

Lumengo Bonga-Bonga

97: Revisiting independence and stochastic dominance for compound lotteries

Alexander Zimper

96: On the Real Exchange Rate Effects of Higher Electricity Prices in South Africa

Jan Horn Van Heerden, James Blignaut and Andre Cillie Jordaan