Abstract:
Whether currency devaluation promotes growth is an empirically open question. Coexistence of an undervalued currency and the world’s largest trade surplus alongside a booming economy makes China a unique case study. Using the bounds-testing approach to cointegration and error correction modeling proposed by Pesaran et al. (2001), we estimate a reduced form model for China. The findings suggest that devaluation of the Yuan is contractionary in the short run but expansionary in the long run.