The Dynamics of Financial Markets -- Mandelbrot's multifractal cascades, and beyond
Lisa Borland,
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud,
Jean-Francois Muzy and
Gilles Zumbach Additional contact information Lisa Borland: Evnine-Vaughan Associates, Inc.
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud: Science & Finance, Capital Fund Management
Jean-Francois Muzy: Centre de Recherche Paul Pascal, Pessac, FRANCE
Gilles Zumbach: Consulting in Financial Research
Abstract:
This is a short review in honor of B. Mandelbrot's 80st birthday, to appear in W ilmott magazine. We discuss how multiplicative cascades and related multifractal ideas might be relevant to model the main statistical features of financial time series, in particular the intermittent, long-memory nature of the volatility. We describe in details the Bacry-Muzy-Delour multifractal random walk. We point out some inadequacies of the current models, in particular concerning time reversal symmetry, and propose an alternative family of multi-timescale models, intermediate between GARCH models and multifractal models, that seem quite promising.
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