Financial and Economic Determinants of Firm Default

Giulio Bottazzi (), Marco Grazzi (), Angelo Secchi () and Federico Tamagni ()

LEM Papers Series from Laboratory of Economics and Management (LEM), Sant'Anna School of Advanced Studies, Pisa, Italy

Abstract: This paper investigates the relevance of financial and economic variables as determinants of firm defaults. Our analysis is not limited to publicly traded companies but extends to a large sample of limited liability firms. We consider size, growth, profitability and productivity together with a standard set of financial indicators. Non parametric tests allow to asses to what extent defaulting firms differ from the non-defaulting group. Bootstrap probit regressions confirm that economic variables play both a long and short term effect. Our findings are robust with respect to the inclusion of Distance to Deafult and risk ratings among the regressors.

Keywords: firm default; financial indicators; selection and growth dynamics; kernel densities; stochastic equality; bootstrap probit regressions; distance to default (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: C14 C25 D20 G30 L11 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eff and nep-rmg
Date: 2009-06-09
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:ssa:lemwps:2009/06

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