Working Papers

from Swiss National Bank, Study Center Gerzensee
Studienzentrum Gerzensee, Postfach 21, 3115 Gerzensee.
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13.04: Bayesian estimation of sparse dynamic factor models with order-independent identification

Sylvia Kaufmann and Christian Schumacher

13.03: What Drives Target2 Balances? Evidence From a Panel Analysis

Raphael Anton Auer

13.02: On Discrete Location Choice Models

Nils Herger

13.01: Product Heterogeneity, Cross-Country Taste Differences, and the Consumption Home Bias

Raphael Anton Auer

12.03: Forecasting Exchange Rates with Commodity Convenience Yields

Toni Beutler

12.02: Economic and Politico-Economic Equivalence

Martin Gonzalez-Eiras and Dirk Niepelt

12.01: Transmission of Sovereign Risk in the Euro Crisis

Filippo Brutti and Philip Ulrich Sauré

11.11: The Collateral Channel under Imperfect Debt Enforcement

Toni Beutler and Mathieu Grobéty

11.09: Prices and Choices in the Swiss Health Care Insurance Market

Yves Ortiz

11.08: Limited Rationality and Strategic Interaction: A Probabilistic Multi-Agent Model

Yves Ortiz and Martin schüle

11.07: Surfing the Capital Waves: A sector-level examination of surges in FDI inflows

Salvatore Dell’Erba and Dennis Bernhard Sebastian Reinhardt

11.06: Ageing, Government Budgets, Retirement, and Growth

Dirk Niepelt and Martin Gonzalez-Eiras

11.05: The Journal Rankings of Central Banks

Emanuel Kohlscheen

11.04: Spatial Competition in Quality, Demand-Induced Innovation, and Schumpeterian Growth

Raphael Anton Auer and Philip Ulrich Sauré

11.03: CHF Strength and Swiss Export Performance – Evidence and Outlook From a Disaggregate Analysis

Raphael Anton Auer and Philip Ulrich Sauré

11.02: Low-Wage Import Competition, Inflationary Pressure, and Industry Dynamics in Europe

Raphael Anton Auer, Kathrin Degen and Andreas M Fischer

11.01: Development (Paradigm) Failures

Roland Hodler

10.05: Foreign Aid and Enlightened Leaders

Roland Hodler and Paul Anton Raschky

10.04: Compulsory Voting and Public Finance

Roland Hodler

10.03: The Home Bias in Equities and Distribution Costs

Philipp Harms, Mathias Hoffmann and Christina Ortseifer

10.02: Into the Allocation Puzzle - A Sectoral Analysis

Dennis Bernhard Sebastian Reinhardt

10.01: Biased Experts, Costly Lies, and Binary Decisions

Roland Hodler, Simon Loertscher and Dominic Rohner

09.06: Deciding to Peg the Exchange Rate in Developing Countries:The Role of Private-Sector Debt

Philipp Harms and Matthias Hoffmann

09.05: Product Heterogeneity, Within-Industry Trade Patterns, and the Home Bias of Consumption?

Raphael Anton Auer

09.04: Can Parameter Instability Explain the Meese-Rogoff Puzzle?

Philippe Bacchetta, Eric van Wincoop and Toni Beutler

09.03: The Colonial and Geographic Origins of Comparative Development

Raphael Anton Auer

09.02: The Demographics of Expropriation Risk

Philipp Harms and Philipp an de Meulen

09.01: Offshoring Along the Production Chain

Philipp Harms, Oliver Lorz and Dieter M. Urban

08.05: Debt Maturity without Commitment

Dirk Niepelt

08.04: Are Spectral Estimators Useful for Implementing Long-Run Restrictions in SVARs?

Nils Herger

08.03: Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy Model: A DSGE-VAR Approach for Switzerland

Gregor Bäuerle and Tobias Menz

08.02: Managing Beliefs about Monetary Policy under Discretion?

Elmar Mertens

08.01: Are Spectral Estimators Useful for Implementing Long-Run Restrictions in SVARs?

Elmar Mertens

07.05: Population Ageing, Government Budgets, and Productivity Growth in Politico-Economic Equilibrium

Martín Gonzales-Eiras and Dirk Niepelt

07.04: How does private foreign borrowing affect the risk of sovereign default in developing countries?

Oya Celasun and Philipp Harms

07.03: Words, deeds, and outcomes: A survey on the growth effects of exchange rate regimes

Philipp Harms and Marco Kretschmann

07.02: The Future of Social Security

Martin Gonzalez-Eiras and Dirk Niepelt

07.01: Random Walk Expectations and the Forward Discount Puzzle

Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop

06.04: Predictability in Financial Markets: What Do Survey Expectations Tell Us?

Philippe Bacchetta, Elmar Mertens and Eric van Wincoop

06.03: The Stability Pact - Rationales, Problems, Alternatives

Assar Lindbeck and Dirk Niepelt

06.02: Exchange Rate Volatility and Productivity Growth: The Role of Financial Development

Philippe Aghion, Philippe Bacchetta, Romain Ranciere and Kenneth S Rogoff

06.01: Financing Government Expenditures Optimally

Pinar Ayse Yesin

05.05: Puzzling Comovements between Output and Interest Rates? Multiple Shocks are the Answer

Elmar Mertens

05.04: Starving the Beast? Intra-Generational Conflict and Balanced Budget Rules

Dirk Niepelt

05.03: Incomplete Information Processing: A Solution to the Forward Discount Puzzle

Philippe Bacchetta and Eric van Wincoop

05.02: Shock Identification of Macroeconomic Forecasts based on Daily Panels

Marlene Amstad and Andreas M Fischer

05.01: Measuring Income Elasticity for Swiss Money Demand: What do the cantons say about financial innovation?

Andreas M Fischer

04.07: Timing Tax Evasion

Dirk Niepelt

04.06: Sequential Information Flow and Real-Time Diagnosis of Swiss Inflation: Intra-Monthly DCF Estimates for a Low-Inflation Environment

Andreas M Fischer and Marlene Amstad

04.05: Foreign aid and developing countries' creditworthiness

Philipp Harms and Michael Rauber