How to Determine whether Regional Markets are Integrated? Theory and Evidence from European Electricity Markets

Georg Gebhardt and Felix Höffler ()
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Felix Höffler: Department of Econmics, University of Munich, Ludwigstr. 28 (Rgb), D-80539 Munich

No 236, Discussion Papers from SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems, Free University of Berlin, Humboldt University of Berlin, University of Bonn, University of Mannheim, University of Munich

Abstract: Prices may differ between regional markets if transport capacities are limited. We develop a new approach to determine to which extent such differences stem from limited participation in cross-border trader rather than from bottlenecks. We derive a theoretical integration benchmark for the typical case where transportation markets clear before the product markets, using Grossman's (1976) notion of a rational expectations equilibrium. We compare the benchmark to data from European electricity markets. The data reject the integration hypothesis: Capacity prices contain too little information about spot price dierential; this indicates that well informed traders do not engage in cross-border trade.

Keywords: Market integration; electricity markets; interconnector; competition policy; rational expectations equilibrium (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G14 D84 L94 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-ene, nep-mic and nep-ure
Date: 2008-05
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