The Effects of Small Sample Bias in Threshold Autoregressive Models

Yamin S Ahmad

Working Papers from UW-Whitewater, Department of Economics

Abstract: This paper investigates the properties of a class of models which incorporate nonlinear dynamics, known as Threshold Autoregressive (TAR) models. Simulations show that within the context of the real exchange rate literature, a threshold model of exchange rates exhibits significant small sample bias even with long time series data. The results of this paper has severe implications for the properties of estimated coefficients within TAR models.

Keywords: Threshold Autoregressive Models; Nonlinear Models; Small Sample Bias; Real Exchange Rates; Simulation (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F47 C15 C32 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ecm, nep-ets and nep-opm
Date: Written

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Related works:
Journal Article: The effects of small sample bias in Threshold Autoregressive models (2008)
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:uww:wpaper:07-01

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