The long memory story of ex post real interest rates. Can it be supported?
Ioannis A. Venetis (),
Agustin Duarte and
Ivan Paya ()
Additional contact information Agustin Duarte: Departamento Economia Aplicada y Politica Economica, University of Alicante, 03080 Alicante
Abstract:
This papers finds evidence of fractional integration for a number of monthly ex post real interest rate series using the GPH semiparametric estimator on data from fourteen European countries and the US. However, we pose empirical questions on certain time series requirements that emerge from fractional integration and we find that they do not hold pointing to “spurious” long memory and casting doubts with respect to the theoretical origins of long memory in our sample. Common stochastic trends expressed as the sum of stationary past errors do not seem appropriate as an explanation of real interest rate covariation.
Keywords:Real interest rate; Long memory, Fractional Integration (search for similar items in EconPapers) JEL-codes:C22E40F41 (search for similar items in EconPapers) New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ets and nep-mon Date: 2004-04-28 Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 18. Preliminary version. Please do not quote without authors permission. All comments welcome View list of references