Do Tender Offers Create Value? New Methods and Evidence

Sanjai Bhagat, Ming Dong, David Hirshleifer and Robert B. Noah
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Sanjai Bhagat: University of Colorado - Leeds School of Business
Ming Dong: York University - Schulich School of Business
Robert B. Noah: Cambridge Finance Partners, LLC

Finance from EconWPA

Abstract: We develop the Probability Scaling Method, which rescales short-window announcement period returns; and the Intervention Method, which uses returns associated with intervening events, to estimate value improvements from tender offers. These methods address biases in conventional techniques, which measure only a fraction of the total tender offer gain; and which include revelation about bidder stand-alone value. Perceived value improvements are much larger than traditional methods indicate, so that we cannot reject the hypothesis that bidders on average pay fair prices for targets. Furthermore, our new methods affect inferences about economic forces in the takeover market. We identify several effects (higher combined bidder-target stock returns for hostile offers, lower for equity offers, and lower for diversifying offers) that reflect differences in revelation about stand-alone value, not gains from combination.

Keywords: Tender offers; value improvements; truncation dilemma; revelation bias; agency (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: G12 G34 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-fin
Date: 2004-12-05
Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 64
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Journal Article: Do tender offers create value? New methods and evidence (2005)
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Persistent link: http://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:wpa:wuwpfi:0412011

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