Abstract:
In a dataset of weekly observations over the period since 1990, the discount on UK closed-end mutual funds is shown to be nonstationary, but reverting to a nonzero long run mean. Although the long run discount could be explained by factors like management expenses etc., its short run ‡uctuations are harder to reconcile with an arbitrage-free equilibrium. In time series terms, they appear to exhibit heavily nonlinear behaviour, perhaps best represented by an Exponential Smooth- Transition Autoregressive (ESTAR) model.
Keywords:closed-end mutual funds; ESTAR; stationarity (search for similar items in EconPapers) JEL-codes:G (search for similar items in EconPapers) Date: 2005-04-07 Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 48