Cross Border Cargo Vehicle Flows

Thomas Fullerton () and Roberto Tinajero
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Roberto Tinajero: University of Texas at El Paso

International Trade from EconWPA

Abstract: Increases in international merchandise trade plus growth in the northern Mexico maquiladora sector have caused the volume of cargo vehicle flows through border metropolitan areas to expand in recent decades. To examine whether the trends associated with these developments can be successfully modeled, short-term time series characteristics of cross- border cargo vehicle through El Paso, Texas are analyzed. Univariate and transfer function ARIMA methodologies are employed using data from January 1980 through December 1999. Maquiladora employment in Ciudad Juarez, nonagricultural employment in El Paso, the real exchange rate, industrial activity in Mexico, and U.S. industrial activity are found to influence monthly changes in border region cargo vehicle flows.

Keywords: Border economics; time series econometrics; cargo vehicles (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ifn
Date: 2004-05-21
Note: Type of Document - doc; pages: 27
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