Trade Flows among CEEC and EU Countries: what future perspectives?

José Manuel Martins Caetano () and Aurora Galego ()

Abstract: The Eastern enlargement represents an opportunity for trade expansion for all the countries involved. In fact, trade between the EU and the Central Eastern European Countries (CEEC) has grown considerably in the nineties, coinciding with the transition period and the preparation of the CEEC to full-membership. In this paper we analyse the characteristics and evolution of the EU- CEEC trade in the last decade and study the potential bilateral trade flows between the EU and the CEEC. In particular, besides analysing trade relations between CEEC and the EU, we will study trade developments among the CEEC. Moreover, we will take into consideration the sectoral dimension in the analysis. The analysis is based on the gravity model approach using panel data from 1993 to 2001. It is possible to conclude that there is still scope for further expansion of the trade flows between some CEEC and some of the EU countries. Furthermore, there is scope for growth on trade flows among the CEEC, due to the fact that EU membership will promote complete trade liberalisation among these countries.

Keywords: Trade; EU enlargement; Gravity Models (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: F1 F2 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-eec, nep-int and nep-tra
Date: Written 2005-04-07
Note: Type of Document - pdf; pages: 26
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