WOULD ADOPTING THE US DOLLAR HAVE LED TO IMPROVED INFLATION, OUTPUT AND TRADE BALANCES FOR NEW ZEALAND IN THE 1990s?

Viv B. Hall () and Angela Huang

Abstract: Deterministic simulations with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s core FPS model show how New Zealand’s broad macroeconomic environment might have evolved over the 1990s, if a US nominal yield curve and US TWI exchange rate movements under a common currency arrangement had been experienced.Relatively looser monetary conditions would have prevailed, and led to modest short-run output gains, greater excess demand pressures, noticeably higher CPI inflation rates over the whole of the 1990s, and less favourable trade balance outcomes, especially for the late 1990s.These macroeconomic outcomes are overall less favourable than those obtained from simulating the equivalent Australian monetary conditions.

Keywords: Common currency; monetary policy; deterministic simulation; New Zealand; Australia; United States. (search for similar items in EconPapers)
JEL-codes: E58 F36 E31 E37 E17 (search for similar items in EconPapers)
New Economics Papers: this item is included in nep-ifn and nep-mac
Date: Written 2004-01-08
Note: Type of Document - pdf; prepared on Word 2000; to print on PC;
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Related works:
Working Paper: Would Adopting the US Dollar Have Led to Improved Inflation, Output and Trade Balances for New Zealand in the 1990s? (2003)
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